# signal_reasoning

symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768920264668_zgisohwon
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 14.0% | Asymmetry: 28.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-7.863978170968948e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000016190509741789014,0.000016190509741789014]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.03 | Trading Confidence: 1835.7%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 7.2% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.7400686878530632e-8,-84.22114866650661],[-84.22114866650661,617018573899561000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [5.566539963581199e-9,75.52435828902148,75.52435828902148,-616864529912033200]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT","IG"]
dominant_module: OT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=3.6%, final=13.86%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768920349233_aopyvw1e1
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 15.5% | Asymmetry: 31.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":7.091348282302048e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.97 | Trading Confidence: 1510.8%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 8.5% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.9138889927257742e-8,-228.7102165108815],[-228.7102165108815,2447614357517052400]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [6.158857286180314e-9,41.030784532004134,41.030784532004134,1214992084094080500]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=4.3%, final=13.88%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768920606442_djbjqpjxi
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 14.5% | Asymmetry: 29.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":4.190948137091154e-12,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.01 | Trading Confidence: 1507.4%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 0.7% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.196721251344282e-8,-19.287258353001448],[-19.287258353001448,2447644239979738000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [3.274454826718921e-9,284.9223385225574,284.9223385225574,1215040221007407600]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: OT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.4%, final=13.89%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768920637970_7c8axmpcd
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 9.0% | Asymmetry: 18.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-9.60006627044862e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.00005656873774576855,0.00005656873774576855]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.01 | Trading Confidence: 1267.4%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 0.2% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.2109292433056262e-8,-3.2181054997735976],[-3.2181054997735976,1856306907154593300]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [3.264442941519594e-9,115.84301420963558,115.84301420963558,1807281090916796000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.1%, final=13.89%


symbol: ADA/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768920683642_fpi4o0rfr
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 0.0% | Asymmetry: 0.1%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":5.3281763889846705e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.04 | Trading Confidence: 2280.8%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 10.3% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.325570941666802e-7,-8275.066022293371],[-8275.066022293371,885950813976333500000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [4.7094573254853796e-8,-8497.915145161163,-8497.915145161163,-490068428277699440000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=5.1%, final=13.88%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768921009362_ow0cjgh9f
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.6524 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 20.2% | Asymmetry: 40.4%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-2.711354115310996e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.00000950675920124027,0.00000950675920124027]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.98 | Trading Confidence: 1351.4%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 1.5% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.4567565636751498e-8,-24.601417046039764],[-24.601417046039764,1831907772000223000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [1.5655323928010988e-9,126.15749053844033,126.15749053844033,-1831849160381910300]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.8%, final=13.83%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768921173495_26kg05956
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7099 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 18.4% | Asymmetry: 36.9%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":2.2900504086996808e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.00 | Trading Confidence: 1326.8%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 2.4% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.4251100148098313e-8,-38.580983476520856],[-38.580983476520856,1831909000678290200]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.505790631122998e-10,89.52996993414166,89.52996993414166,-1831858926876716000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.2%, final=13.83%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768922606242_37dp3y9xr
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 171.5% | Asymmetry: 343.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-1.4759327204131223e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.0000022180567474053517,0.0000022180567474053517]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.98 | Trading Confidence: 1129.5%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 4.3% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.2789454175860106e-8,-47.16237434245456],[-47.16237434245456,159853062909945860]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-4.40110758012845e-9,-34.556560004511304,-34.556560004511304,-76853303756953940]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=2.2%, final=13.88%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768923027857_xf2wg778e
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 178.0% | Asymmetry: 356.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":4.64984496672245e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.98 | Trading Confidence: 1100.3%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 11.3% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.8993079608858124e-8,-126.4435130032538],[-126.4435130032538,159868278501853630]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-7.147869582747474e-9,83.29388199992167,83.29388199992167,-156672747934117730]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=5.7%, final=13.89%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768923142433_bkmqzholc
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.8165 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 21.5% | Asymmetry: 43.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-4.614862633936039e-12,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000001240277204759221,0.000001240277204759221]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.97 | Trading Confidence: 1678.9%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 0.8% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.1865228582502792e-8,-76.23946151314117],[-76.23946151314117,36136721247388040000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-3.2919168561275105e-9,547.7689541004123,547.7689541004123,-36097068645574504000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.4%, final=13.85%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768923245827_ryp8s3s7x
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 167.0% | Asymmetry: 334.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-2.2003549027712114e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000008564179086503683,0.000008564179086503683]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.95 | Trading Confidence: 1413.7%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 9.4% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.5355653992438498e-8,-41.71127955792632],[-41.71127955792632,41824822665910616]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-3.888952224493539e-9,38.22841671948435,38.22841671948435,-41137811937916104]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=4.7%, final=13.87%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768923435837_u25mi5yea
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 161.5% | Asymmetry: 323.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-4.623407548023913e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000003925730313382854,0.000003925730313382854]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.01 | Trading Confidence: 865.2%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 5.8% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.4007386745293843e-8,-24.48865293011917],[-24.48865293011917,41600773129790090]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.4534379101167205e-9,25.010031836836948,25.010031836836948,-41419645182935990]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=2.9%, final=13.89%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768925582389_u29lnqpgo
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 13.5% | Asymmetry: 27.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-1.0279389305938986e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000018510707987485682,0.000018510707987485682]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.92 | Trading Confidence: 1493.8%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 3.4% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.0606207050351783e-8,-144.1510694213831],[-144.1510694213831,12394339320648600000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-3.319452837823239e-9,-561.000175858961,-561.000175858961,12374940973551612000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.7%, final=13.90%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768926088902_pp2zzrshm
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.6311 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 15.5% | Asymmetry: 31.1%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":7.2657983596243545e-12,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.00 | Trading Confidence: 851.8%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 4.5% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.9154654548042355e-8,-190.64065767028052],[-190.64065767028052,12394337573370794000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [1.0804282417063336e-9,-207.29823635068777,-207.29823635068777,12374974394916198000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=2.2%, final=13.84%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768929329345_01eq8myuk
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 165.0% | Asymmetry: 330.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":4.613184862620138e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.94 | Trading Confidence: 1108.7%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 0.4% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[7.942730164411221e-9,-1.5745624427456828],[-1.5745624427456828,22373513232566624]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.1377272664915924e-10,-27.19132644032384,-27.19132644032384,22179829338634140]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.2%, final=13.94%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768932001577_kqd7tgsus
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 169.5% | Asymmetry: 339.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":1.6644275760725746e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.95 | Trading Confidence: 1639.4%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 2.4% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.0797850671242572e-8,-5.205212542903842],[-5.205212542903842,1141730891329086.2]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [2.458649308746042e-10,0.4371195468449458,0.4371195468449458,673865777593303]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.2%, final=14.00%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768933599269_pjvzxe18k
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 8.5% | Asymmetry: 17.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":9.981463246081877e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.93 | Trading Confidence: 2221.8%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 7.3% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.830097856330353e-8,-487.04747429488384],[-487.04747429488384,34037038365612630000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [2.2566543480762622e-9,-517.6339795157551,-517.6339795157551,34036871683760144000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT","IG"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=3.6%, final=13.87%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768933632379_2qh17fuho
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 12.5% | Asymmetry: 25.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-2.5489925612973367e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000009217723076221764,0.000009217723076221764]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.97 | Trading Confidence: 1798.8%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 6.2% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.768606606170683e-8,-548.0997580815258],[-548.0997580815258,37879005687788760000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [2.4233108722909908e-9,-663.7444499058612,-663.7444499058612,37867332838959280000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=3.1%, final=13.93%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768938099617_a4uojrv9h
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 115.5% | Asymmetry: 231.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":2.108315894605319e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.97 | Trading Confidence: 1216.2%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 0.2% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[9.780175285962811e-9,-0.33728084400447733],[-0.33728084400447733,2494456842708801]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.4620050482506727e-10,11.314748752230082,11.314748752230082,-2324657404273133]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.1%, final=13.94%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768938187741_3rmp2eh3i
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 169.0% | Asymmetry: 338.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":4.5411415244119046e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.99 | Trading Confidence: 996.2%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 1.7% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[9.902560210737827e-9,-3.890226625381088],[-3.890226625381088,2498619664783638.5]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-2.728089139827724e-12,11.059881201123675,11.059881201123675,-2343889246080056]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.8%, final=13.95%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768938932608_40lh28y0x
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.6463 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 17.0% | Asymmetry: 34.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":1.8534513807527838e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.97 | Trading Confidence: 1044.5%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 0.3% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.4227478552997392e-8,-30.033595597901726],[-30.033595597901726,107928156882477400000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [1.706597896437004e-9,-681.8861906551122,-681.8861906551122,107893785796585570000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.1%, final=13.84%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768939865998_xqt88qf2c
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.5983 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 15.2% | Asymmetry: 30.4%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":3.209482544867093e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.96 | Trading Confidence: 1315.8%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 0.2% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.4418195881399798e-8,-20.30618767632419],[-20.30618767632419,107911944447626150000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [1.906420788560351e-10,-430.0712032864644,-430.0712032864644,107911728836069720000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.1%, final=13.86%


symbol: BTC/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768940373545_q8mykp42b
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 4100.0% | Asymmetry: 8200.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":2.050389593068746e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.04 | Trading Confidence: 991.7%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 0.8% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: trending
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.807871735625325e-9,-3.001609432858937],[-3.001609432858937,31233933747230148]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [3.577728718299673e-10,-22.02035487568871,-22.02035487568871,30724698534600776]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: trending | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: Extreme instability, High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 20.0%. Kelly=0.4%, final=15.00%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768940500719_il16jiq70
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 20.0% | Asymmetry: 40.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-1.6067172968024324e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000023142437906743476,0.000023142437906743476]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.94 | Trading Confidence: 1704.2%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 5.4% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.623172088555505e-8,-718.4223321686246],[-718.4223321686246,109450526635653220000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-2.0456092030121568e-10,130.91599423077793,130.91599423077793,-106360323953378430000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=2.7%, final=13.86%


symbol: XRP/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768941769920_b7pb7yxoz
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.6904 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 0.1% | Asymmetry: 0.2%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-3.7412254285758755e-12,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.0000011167251868112519,0.0000011167251868112519]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.03 | Trading Confidence: 897.2%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 2.5% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.2502842086409698e-8,-183.4882435806928],[-183.4882435806928,42271810654220840000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-3.048663469064234e-9,-207.08971856162228,-207.08971856162228,42271738527514810000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.3%, final=13.83%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768941975917_cam93gg9a
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 8.5% | Asymmetry: 17.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":3.4214076428886147e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.94 | Trading Confidence: 1437.5%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 6.4% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.382743615641474e-8,-5387.655304305434],[-5387.655304305434,5.489974024584413e+21]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-3.82714219430985e-9,-6498.5666861424015,-6498.5666861424015,5.489879212786127e+21]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=3.2%, final=13.90%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768942458013_xm1zywor6
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.6757 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 19.2% | Asymmetry: 38.3%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":8.709130504915783e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.01 | Trading Confidence: 1445.7%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 6.1% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.3541833809539874e-8,-5182.109613089917],[-5182.109613089917,5.489974357940555e+21]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-2.4291140276200732e-9,-884.1266379898694,-884.1266379898694,5.486962560331729e+21]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=3.1%, final=13.84%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768942470314_m4msjt73z
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 8.0% | Asymmetry: 16.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-4.396722680656115e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.0000382828189516573,0.0000382828189516573]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.98 | Trading Confidence: 1449.8%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 5.9% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.3606563221516282e-8,-4985.380494915036],[-4985.380494915036,5.489974422865899e+21]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-2.3477155380605396e-9,-487.4794531303081,-487.4794531303081,5.486962574657e+21]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=3.0%, final=13.87%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768943209944_yzik8584n
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 13.5% | Asymmetry: 27.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-8.720071765587386e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000017049019292994915,0.000017049019292994915]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.95 | Trading Confidence: 1490.1%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 6.3% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.4568255439644056e-8,-5315.466088615933],[-5315.466088615933,5.489977103565978e+21]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-2.850732103127609e-10,8372.659868352574,8372.659868352574,-5.489878578543007e+21]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=3.1%, final=13.85%


symbol: BTC/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768948600877_hexjq29pu
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 6420.0% | Asymmetry: 12840.0%
ct_type: cusp
ct_jump_direction: unknown
ct_control_params: {"a":-0.016823178523447148,"b":-0.00011314252224757707}
ct_critical_points: [0.09335196359682825,-0.08998472723378684,-0.003367236363041433]
ct_reasoning: Type: cusp | Jump Prob: 83.9% unknown | Distance to bifurcation: 0.1334
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.16 | Trading Confidence: 1848.0%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 4.6% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.830193356317734e-8,-4.582153580015027],[-4.582153580015027,179093793905680.2]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.1670374162748164e-8,1.4993816473975956,1.4993816473975956,-55321556031326.02]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=2.3%, final=13.91%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768949044282_2tclcq2wh
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.8266 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 340.8% | Asymmetry: 681.6%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-2.8666026747100286e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.00003091171662821952,0.00003091171662821952]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.97 | Trading Confidence: 1561.9%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 5.8% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.898278560800511e-7,-8.45917050587832],[-8.45917050587832,3566021690410845.5]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.64935982837731e-7,-2.9261862410842774,-2.9261862410842774,3479005060995910]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=2.9%, final=13.98%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768949197040_cebxynhtl
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 183.5% | Asymmetry: 367.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":1.5887678801123518e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.23 | Trading Confidence: 724.3%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 6.0% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.3673582297984203e-7,-10.648969569716535],[-10.648969569716535,3729945526194101.5]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.1591249320434548e-7,6.5448397860140455,6.5448397860140455,3639349860199701.5]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT","IG"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=3.0%, final=13.96%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768949461813_kbkkc4gip
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 224.5% | Asymmetry: 449.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":4.941628156437976e-12,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.26 | Trading Confidence: 1136.0%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 2.6% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[3.542431893230545e-8,-4.7482090486139406],[-4.7482090486139406,3723817436162412.5]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-2.627618119938717e-8,7.760804413497514,7.760804413497514,-3301829439759833.5]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.3%, final=13.94%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768950600324_e0ymx574b
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7241 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 17.8% | Asymmetry: 35.6%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-2.049344736503777e-8,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.00008265076600781904,0.00008265076600781904]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.09 | Trading Confidence: 1639.4%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 9.7% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[4.41183854081422e-8,-3529.7019427814694],[-3529.7019427814694,970277504569440100000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-2.4038935213996455e-8,1041.483137135301,1041.483137135301,970191644287371700000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=4.9%, final=13.86%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768951050506_eq9e7rk90
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.6927 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 21.3% | Asymmetry: 42.6%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":1.1375392624574663e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.97 | Trading Confidence: 1380.7%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 7.5% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.9049473631711563e-8,-2738.5287948861674],[-2738.5287948861674,970277592319868700000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-4.543583977845103e-9,2125.350006762824,2125.350006762824,970192537991370500000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=3.8%, final=13.86%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768951097024_afkywowba
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 9.0% | Asymmetry: 18.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-2.64837808211403e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.00002971182751090902,0.00002971182751090902]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.94 | Trading Confidence: 1467.7%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 6.0% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.852071747563508e-8,-2186.16881791922],[-2186.16881791922,970277585267319800000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-3.424141403976388e-9,2346.734304704409,2346.734304704409,970192549818756200000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=3.0%, final=13.87%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768951200201_tchgiaawj
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 14.0% | Asymmetry: 28.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-1.1345674697626656e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000001944708606932039,0.000001944708606932039]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.94 | Trading Confidence: 1378.7%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 6.3% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.8304051908684835e-8,-2302.4133055740845],[-2302.4133055740845,970277541436539100000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-2.351196133938756e-9,2117.441671413349,2117.441671413349,970192605891512900000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=3.2%, final=13.86%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768951355465_pyztjlso3
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.6474 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 18.6% | Asymmetry: 37.2%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":2.091959232692723e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.97 | Trading Confidence: 1574.1%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 8.6% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.338110185839531e-8,-3140.024280129365],[-3140.024280129365,970277244935558800000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [2.0748930103926685e-9,-987.7398800426591,-987.7398800426591,970192239987847200000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=4.3%, final=13.84%


symbol: BTC/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768952242443_vbfabzhdj
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 5.0% | Asymmetry: 10.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":2.586628366110253e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.04 | Trading Confidence: 1435.9%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 4.3% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.586075655915313e-9,-8.219721028410225],[-8.219721028410225,435620396198184.2]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-6.890204373462541e-10,-8.794036186560595,-8.794036186560595,97364105958297.56]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: Extreme instability, High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 20.0%. Kelly=2.1%, final=15.00%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768954920679_30kbfp5qa
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 8.5% | Asymmetry: 17.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-4.231805285043696e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.00003755797866873605,0.00003755797866873605]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.01 | Trading Confidence: 1228.6%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 1.8% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.4941675503470492e-8,-2.0050190753692543],[-2.0050190753692543,114681187545993.78]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.1984882733802777e-9,0.809236146583026,0.809236146583026,-87174595829118.84]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.9%, final=13.89%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768955940291_i36egyjfj
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.6997 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 17.4% | Asymmetry: 34.8%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":7.901405447572671e-12,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.03 | Trading Confidence: 1117.2%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 7.7% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.3615205927091549e-8,-36.44037797099566],[-36.44037797099566,53439152045813590]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [3.8460930155563904e-9,-55.317683826080675,-55.317683826080675,53356381824236840]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=3.8%, final=13.85%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768956056712_ptnwkxd7w
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 24.5% | Asymmetry: 49.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-2.86786401878243e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.00003091851666764557,0.00003091851666764557]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.06 | Trading Confidence: 847.2%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 4.8% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.3631729679752618e-8,-22.42776930552869],[-22.42776930552869,53430039711325960]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [2.677429775078557e-9,-54.2985124687524,-54.2985124687524,53368214944075160]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=2.4%, final=13.89%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768956587592_jshq4z7pp
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 8.5% | Asymmetry: 17.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-1.4852930846107304e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000022250790881904477,0.000022250790881904477]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.98 | Trading Confidence: 1596.8%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 8.0% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.356219788940404e-8,-51.13474712589712],[-51.13474712589712,77791765344527120]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [1.1879488591397443e-9,-135.1053128582479,-135.1053128582479,77678982062662180]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=4.0%, final=13.86%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768956862440_7ldsn85o1
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.6225 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 19.5% | Asymmetry: 39.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-3.1814541825847856e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.00003256508448520074,0.00003256508448520074]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.00 | Trading Confidence: 1333.4%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 11.9% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.3197101778914534e-8,-75.1568472459151],[-75.1568472459151,77791162090457520]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-2.272711327839836e-9,-123.54134000357594,-123.54134000357594,77682044037363340]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=5.9%, final=13.86%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768957408419_p1dy4cdjc
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.6997 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 21.4% | Asymmetry: 42.8%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":2.2741599051477492e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.06 | Trading Confidence: 1394.9%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 10.9% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.2967103598066572e-8,-69.53518692293245],[-69.53518692293245,77795332713925220]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-3.569602992564365e-9,-74.39449470416912,-74.39449470416912,77668750438816050]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=5.5%, final=13.84%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768957409423_badh1rexb
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 9.0% | Asymmetry: 18.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":4.979341736495506e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.02 | Trading Confidence: 1546.8%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 11.6% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.321077187149292e-8,-73.50840610524811],[-73.50840610524811,77795381091396960]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-3.326649962775164e-9,-81.79961980359109,-81.79961980359109,77668732709477780]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=5.8%, final=13.86%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768958130241_6a9xwy6mz
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 159.5% | Asymmetry: 319.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":2.17350163723446e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.99 | Trading Confidence: 1022.0%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 7.9% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[7.699602951331266e-9,-640.6367299689431],[-640.6367299689431,49738062196267070000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-7.78861693456027e-10,-275.07769379111664,-275.07769379111664,49736859217388380000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=4.0%, final=13.99%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768958642552_awaf5qobh
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 14.0% | Asymmetry: 28.0%
ct_type: cusp
ct_jump_direction: unknown
ct_control_params: {"a":-0.010131750356138664,"b":0.0000018524598118823039}
ct_critical_points: [0.07112920835365368,-0.07122062705243963,0.00009141869878591772]
ct_reasoning: Type: cusp | Jump Prob: 84.3% unknown | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0811
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.94 | Trading Confidence: 1582.4%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 8.9% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.0265236527911592e-8,-56.132722710976346],[-56.132722710976346,77834940515160110]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-9.54887791665209e-10,98.50129686146022,98.50129686146022,-77639602927634990]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=4.4%, final=13.78%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768958667539_x4tw0nxve
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.5899 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 15.7% | Asymmetry: 31.5%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-3.410062512887875e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000033714796518679426,0.000033714796518679426]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.95 | Trading Confidence: 1991.7%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 9.7% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.0294723450042933e-8,-61.653901395019005],[-61.653901395019005,77834883218299120]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-8.950170015394149e-10,103.57570869727728,103.57570869727728,-77639572819434460]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=4.9%, final=13.85%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768958690370_8b8j7dgny
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 14.0% | Asymmetry: 28.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":7.896081502363174e-12,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.98 | Trading Confidence: 1205.9%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 10.3% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.0167920622236072e-8,-65.03711547212536],[-65.03711547212536,77834283508688050]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-6.6878507561292e-10,103.91324301294101,103.91324301294101,-77639468352785570]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=5.1%, final=13.87%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768958719837_gvy23fwxl
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 8.5% | Asymmetry: 17.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-1.159715667954683e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000019661431517522514,0.000019661431517522514]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.90 | Trading Confidence: 2515.0%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 9.8% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.021225219168146e-8,-61.955423995402896],[-61.955423995402896,77833853634919300]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-6.884593418357151e-10,93.29400553109264,93.29400553109264,-77639451800302480]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=4.9%, final=13.87%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768959065018_czsitj975
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 8.5% | Asymmetry: 17.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":1.4921251429109321e-12,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.02 | Trading Confidence: 1131.4%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 11.8% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[9.782952986781896e-9,-74.69067550076092],[-74.69067550076092,77832918644509280]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [4.6102416110159866e-10,96.34687239192553,96.34687239192553,-77639565376077600]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=5.9%, final=13.87%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768959303837_e17xsy1ab
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 14.0% | Asymmetry: 28.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":6.222688752106913e-8,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.04 | Trading Confidence: 783.9%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 10.3% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[9.956493005240601e-9,-64.27048545450451],[-64.27048545450451,77828876028119220]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [5.78417927837035e-10,80.973084761425,80.973084761425,-77639013859673180]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=5.1%, final=13.90%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768960119513_5j9k0y05v
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 46.5% | Asymmetry: 93.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":2.7641948692159974e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.95 | Trading Confidence: 2092.4%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 3.8% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[7.149754391106601e-9,-311.3126394190677],[-311.3126394190677,49740530135358790000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [2.0688991740378317e-10,317.2626705736395,317.2626705736395,-49735805528111540000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: OT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.9%, final=13.96%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768961526638_dqt1isy56
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 158.5% | Asymmetry: 317.0%
ct_type: cusp
ct_jump_direction: unknown
ct_control_params: {"a":-0.0074563261579041855,"b":1.136627535594883e-9}
ct_critical_points: [0.06105864742292342,-0.061058723641929366,7.621900592970542e-8]
ct_reasoning: Type: cusp | Jump Prob: 84.5% unknown | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0597
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.01 | Trading Confidence: 1527.7%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 2.7% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[5.5596799773046195e-9,-5.016189004710618],[-5.016189004710618,916586998921576.9]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-9.174206434285651e-10,5.5570236333460645,5.5570236333460645,-524694978440368.1]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.4%, final=13.94%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768965363469_5l8riol9t
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 168.0% | Asymmetry: 336.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":8.42693651375488e-12,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.97 | Trading Confidence: 1815.9%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 0.3% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[5.404163874140873e-9,-0.5906541707901102],[-0.5906541707901102,1884499904468548.5]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [7.164640747748057e-10,-5.139656383788085,-5.139656383788085,-1726813341241330.5]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.1%, final=13.98%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768966566872_d6e3rpcxt
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 160.0% | Asymmetry: 320.0%
ct_type: cusp
ct_jump_direction: unknown
ct_control_params: {"a":-0.007048703888860873,"b":0.0003363877339497144}
ct_critical_points: [-0.06888525451332501]
ct_reasoning: Type: cusp | Jump Prob: 85.0% unknown | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0051
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.95 | Trading Confidence: 1859.6%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 5.5% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[4.968422651284239e-9,-11.287711403516417],[-11.287711403516417,1299873258471543.5]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-8.697984490141223e-10,0.299336847263568,0.299336847263568,-1087564573774860]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: OT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=2.7%, final=13.96%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768966681852_mgoiilcs4
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 152.0% | Asymmetry: 304.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-5.89056418126024e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.00001401257076254537,0.00001401257076254537]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.05 | Trading Confidence: 1621.5%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 4.2% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[5.362661481748712e-9,-5.8781200888247005],[-5.8781200888247005,186800944674187.56]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-4.772739121875699e-10,-1.516183699749519,-1.516183699749519,11531919602642.406]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=2.1%, final=13.95%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768968486322_q7cpzsq3z
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 14.0% | Asymmetry: 28.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":6.480282015729355e-12,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.89 | Trading Confidence: 1941.7%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 4.7% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.0794608543318852e-8,-20.544478630011614],[-20.544478630011614,46809592156121930]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-4.2938641776741355e-11,9.418605796765439,9.418605796765439,-46691008354991624]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=2.3%, final=13.85%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768970162697_nz05epnqy
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 8.5% | Asymmetry: 17.0%
ct_type: cusp
ct_jump_direction: unknown
ct_control_params: {"a":-0.009795857805985488,"b":6.139436198128781e-7}
ct_critical_points: [0.06996953117176835,-0.0700008680773801,0.00003133690561173062]
ct_reasoning: Type: cusp | Jump Prob: 84.3% unknown | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0784
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.93 | Trading Confidence: 2269.2%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 6.6% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[9.595883015508681e-9,-7.443845510886718],[-7.443845510886718,95474332770449.08]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.0071416330564509e-9,6.74227288501287,6.74227288501287,42810859243245.3]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=3.3%, final=13.76%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768971921523_auo3x0ng9
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 9.0% | Asymmetry: 18.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-5.635478256631734e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000013705811731563285,0.000013705811731563285]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.99 | Trading Confidence: 2379.8%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 5.4% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[8.669250795844523e-9,-6.588250330967067],[-6.588250330967067,102993097361547.92]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-8.503111197865541e-10,5.035764160153326,5.035764160153326,-515346032852.4922]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=2.7%, final=13.89%


symbol: XRP/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768974486124_2l20lqx41
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.5348 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 0.1% | Asymmetry: 0.3%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":2.157849189359753e-8,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.01 | Trading Confidence: 1152.1%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 12.5% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.487330428962699e-8,-5.533280536948283],[-5.533280536948283,16932240887625.357]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [2.3679567618396507e-9,-3.262130848507451,-3.262130848507451,-5300245073663.735]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=6.3%, final=13.86%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768975483002_75foe8hbm
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 155.5% | Asymmetry: 311.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":1.453015171991508e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.03 | Trading Confidence: 949.0%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 4.2% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[3.7128743426019886e-9,-29.9914626827999],[-29.9914626827999,46719449438529240]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [1.0622349239432001e-9,-27.216236754796423,-27.216236754796423,39372411506170264]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=2.1%, final=13.96%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768977160531_2dp4fcanp
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 14.0% | Asymmetry: 28.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":5.82583600089948e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.97 | Trading Confidence: 1044.7%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 5.6% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[9.306849672760637e-9,-11.616070429116554],[-11.616070429116554,1107151698672323.2]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [3.4298829099551756e-10,12.585209798132142,12.585209798132142,962673731109155.6]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=2.8%, final=13.88%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768989900330_oejvzo8nh
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 8.5% | Asymmetry: 17.0%
ct_type: cusp
ct_jump_direction: unknown
ct_control_params: {"a":-0.012857074523672638,"b":6.127907194072553e-7}
ct_critical_points: [0.08016624141076889,-0.08019007228973028,0.000023830878961369746]
ct_reasoning: Type: cusp | Jump Prob: 84.1% unknown | Distance to bifurcation: 0.1029
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.04 | Trading Confidence: 1047.3%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 2.5% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.6530436530727197e-8,-7.123941624204359],[-7.123941624204359,17003765193864684]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [4.226630093404262e-9,-25.265502821991277,-25.265502821991277,-16933355145134070]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.2%, final=13.77%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768996142202_isnndtlnm
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7270 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 21.9% | Asymmetry: 43.8%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":3.0469632340244436e-12,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.00 | Trading Confidence: 1314.6%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 4.5% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.5206764876480414e-8,-5.026882200894898],[-5.026882200894898,50025929511012.3]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-2.728735243646548e-9,5.965961387471877,5.965961387471877,-5282634396880.531]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=2.2%, final=13.89%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1768997501888_0x7osekzg
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 14.5% | Asymmetry: 29.0%
ct_type: cusp
ct_jump_direction: unknown
ct_control_params: {"a":-0.01224647742951513,"b":0.000005617940624123375}
ct_critical_points: [0.07813618802371514,-0.0783655596502361,0.00022937162652094108]
ct_reasoning: Type: cusp | Jump Prob: 84.2% unknown | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0980
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.99 | Trading Confidence: 1187.1%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: -0.01% | Growth Rate: -0.01% | Kelly: 0.0% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.499762094316235e-8,194.27704546566372],[194.27704546566372,4202794582266985500]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [3.821296224586917e-9,482.8727425408386,482.8727425408386,4201083903483387000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.0%, final=13.74%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769000762235_h6lqbpwl6
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 158.0% | Asymmetry: 316.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-3.560446952508246e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000010894106897015844,0.000010894106897015844]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.96 | Trading Confidence: 1435.6%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 10.1% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.2351362975067649e-8,-25.04011007208834],[-25.04011007208834,2945761517734274]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-2.369438763875511e-9,-21.486003406060785,-21.486003406060785,-2412079373433306]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=5.0%, final=13.88%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769000838276_ljvlpwxbi
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 149.5% | Asymmetry: 299.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-1.640314722191401e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000023383147223241793,0.000023383147223241793]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.02 | Trading Confidence: 1396.8%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 12.2% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.2707921184793247e-8,-28.585637046349863],[-28.585637046349863,2803207205096896.5]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-2.835850408609798e-9,-14.565943325764765,-14.565943325764765,-2277749537218727.5]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=6.1%, final=13.92%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769000838521_hwzxuw22h
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 169.5% | Asymmetry: 339.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":1.1676590172912098e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.13 | Trading Confidence: 751.6%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 12.4% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.2714038871434854e-8,-29.04036823404063],[-29.04036823404063,2803200432571334.5]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-2.9010387622877826e-9,-16.190794602372563,-16.190794602372563,-2277753533403211]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=6.2%, final=13.93%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769002094089_8cbsbj82z
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7217 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 16.8% | Asymmetry: 33.5%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":9.784298055674045e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.92 | Trading Confidence: 2129.5%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 0.9% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.2788564375883443e-8,-112.04586819205441],[-112.04586819205441,85972235783076640000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-3.87057931453991e-9,-97.07652753426773,-97.07652753426773,-85952875845429740000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.4%, final=13.88%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769002451040_fq4cgee8y
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 154.0% | Asymmetry: 308.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":2.830212120479571e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.00 | Trading Confidence: 781.9%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 6.2% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: trending
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.082044247335051e-8,-13.0186194944002],[-13.0186194944002,393392122245228.06]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-5.454792358773326e-10,18.215894572852633,18.215894572852633,-167191795725931.62]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: trending | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["IG"]
dominant_module: OT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=3.1%, final=13.93%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769003325190_i6spw3y7r
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 159.0% | Asymmetry: 318.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-5.3831079010907314e-12,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.0000013395407050043597,0.0000013395407050043597]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.98 | Trading Confidence: 1537.4%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 2.3% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[9.691403110049804e-9,-4.8357739687864285],[-4.8357739687864285,382751274496854.1]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [1.4576648672948134e-9,27.569948527943822,27.569948527943822,-123270100053031.77]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.1%, final=13.87%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769003699420_n93uuc9wq
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 8.5% | Asymmetry: 17.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-1.4251613910257981e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000021795728870781066,0.000021795728870781066]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.07 | Trading Confidence: 1265.4%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 5.8% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.1696974081356284e-8,-6.181736716174863],[-6.181736716174863,44344627536138.97]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-3.9674592741570885e-9,9.350690334255663,9.350690334255663,13393274834267.535]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=2.9%, final=13.91%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769004368228_si14q8n8z
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 16.0% | Asymmetry: 32.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":4.9888924913573e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.97 | Trading Confidence: 2143.8%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 5.4% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.0662543784518595e-8,-38.00857593242021],[-38.00857593242021,190067590172972580]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [8.989320432870018e-10,-73.56562798633905,-73.56562798633905,189955816615969730]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=2.7%, final=13.87%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769004399837_rtuk949pf
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 9.5% | Asymmetry: 19.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":1.4860596697069883e-8,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.02 | Trading Confidence: 1199.4%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 6.3% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.1058411616764653e-8,-44.63791337695757],[-44.63791337695757,190067833324191680]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [1.125787457876368e-9,-82.33274782747905,-82.33274782747905,189955791628568000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=3.2%, final=13.89%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769004445940_a80t9fwr0
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 16.0% | Asymmetry: 32.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-2.7701141872102244e-8,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.0000960922159041377,0.0000960922159041377]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.97 | Trading Confidence: 1692.4%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 5.6% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.9180202290315165e-8,-51.03781933501106],[-51.03781933501106,223453865194502750]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [1.2690887180629427e-9,-130.1831208152841,-130.1831208152841,223243591751567550]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=2.8%, final=13.88%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769004466426_ux0eeyztx
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 9.0% | Asymmetry: 18.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-2.0784760111582618e-8,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.00008323613019913611,0.00008323613019913611]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.00 | Trading Confidence: 1534.6%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 5.5% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.9183474337326225e-8,-50.3124576345387],[-50.3124576345387,223453952226756740]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [1.2727267100928324e-9,-128.84364941023927,-128.84364941023927,223243525126259680]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=2.8%, final=13.87%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769004548439_azvt77cse
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 166.5% | Asymmetry: 333.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-1.7058599745563464e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000023845754161250217,0.000023845754161250217]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.00 | Trading Confidence: 1739.7%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 6.4% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.649669435139121e-8,-148.64658881521558],[-148.64658881521558,2293693228565466000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [5.754865168371941e-9,-277.48406765879764,-277.48406765879764,2292772994631320600]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: OT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=3.2%, final=13.97%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769004616346_rzfy01mkq
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 201.5% | Asymmetry: 403.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":5.420509101141639e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.95 | Trading Confidence: 2267.4%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 7.0% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.6583610470721858e-8,-164.2177170452058],[-164.2177170452058,2294294543713135400]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [4.055345382702163e-9,-318.5058391845298,-318.5058391845298,2293299563450938000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=3.5%, final=13.97%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769004617856_ih564lsvj
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 17.0% | Asymmetry: 34.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":1.4421278438431608e-12,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.98 | Trading Confidence: 1915.5%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 8.9% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.9256681519606574e-8,-81.39756293019073],[-81.39756293019073,223453714663956130]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [1.5936009988879676e-9,-144.35683297859364,-144.35683297859364,223241322682316350]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=4.4%, final=13.90%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769004621957_wuezv89j1
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 9.5% | Asymmetry: 19.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":4.214846727515503e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.98 | Trading Confidence: 1808.4%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 9.8% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.824634399645303e-8,-303.95871290148557],[-303.95871290148557,1541198562515909400]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [1.3387615179344599e-9,-626.2068288396955,-626.2068288396955,1538342445757290800]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: OT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=4.9%, final=13.90%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769004720969_ciw6u3qg1
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 9.0% | Asymmetry: 18.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-3.038350561759508e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.00001006371462525892,0.00001006371462525892]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.86 | Trading Confidence: 2763.9%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 10.5% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.965781290105152e-8,-367.07532064905126],[-367.07532064905126,1594433498863649000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [8.840201803402889e-10,-668.7069514195622,-668.7069514195622,1590113637965275400]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=5.3%, final=13.86%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769004740016_b4ks8l9zh
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7278 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 17.3% | Asymmetry: 34.7%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-3.577549532919724e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000003453283236245242,0.000003453283236245242]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.96 | Trading Confidence: 2223.2%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 9.7% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.9704197577914346e-8,-339.7386384127831],[-339.7386384127831,1594436991104732700]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [8.842753057537839e-10,-593.5204180261995,-593.5204180261995,1590114861344729000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=4.9%, final=13.85%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769004797512_k79yyk9g9
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7250 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 21.3% | Asymmetry: 42.6%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":2.4674622158845705e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.96 | Trading Confidence: 1975.9%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 9.5% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.9997962697339954e-8,-330.9823713381857],[-330.9823713381857,1594437919478366200]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [1.9204200562807384e-9,-675.4240722049818,-675.4240722049818,1590113810012699100]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT","IG"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=4.7%, final=13.88%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769004815804_7zkgq42rl
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7032 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 18.0% | Asymmetry: 36.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":8.166906029769236e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.92 | Trading Confidence: 2445.2%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 10.6% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.961730153955528e-8,-371.6256024952974],[-371.6256024952974,1594428350646893300]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [1.6013253902163212e-9,-811.0393671497337,-811.0393671497337,1590097613041101600]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=5.3%, final=13.87%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769004851916_o4vlec1kj
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 8.5% | Asymmetry: 17.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-1.886431748328797e-8,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.00007929757769164614,0.00007929757769164614]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.85 | Trading Confidence: 2873.7%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 13.1% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.8074197364711963e-8,-1601.2509026550622],[-1601.2509026550622,27450547441133736000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [1.3083292054216295e-9,-3662.9208009735758,-3662.9208009735758,27405734724534485000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT","IG"]
dominant_module: OT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=6.6%, final=13.88%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769004865823_low9f9yu0
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 15.5% | Asymmetry: 31.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-1.8634558082004065e-8,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.00007881319280848874,0.00007881319280848874]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.86 | Trading Confidence: 3042.3%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 12.9% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.8047912260875205e-8,-1572.4584644228746],[-1572.4584644228746,27450551091281715000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [1.283819496791534e-9,-3605.6019002433,-3605.6019002433,27405737986364965000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=6.5%, final=13.88%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769004947316_f8xd888j0
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 8.5% | Asymmetry: 17.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":3.719329149447183e-12,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.97 | Trading Confidence: 2031.2%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 11.8% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.8288814109220296e-8,-1433.6400342771483],[-1433.6400342771483,27450580633483186000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-2.6844784821256077e-9,-1562.547868221443,-1562.547868221443,27402208341988140000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=5.9%, final=13.87%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769005010516_xmuncuh7q
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 9.5% | Asymmetry: 19.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":3.974960937418072e-12,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.90 | Trading Confidence: 2569.5%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 13.6% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.866822513819953e-8,-1660.9995643929017],[-1660.9995643929017,27450538208143737000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-2.7609728461643762e-9,-1706.0611713887947,-1706.0611713887947,27402102567059850000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: OT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=6.8%, final=13.85%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769005016982_8tzu5gc2v
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 9.5% | Asymmetry: 19.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":2.2016954708383554e-12,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.02 | Trading Confidence: 2179.4%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 14.1% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.861523019092786e-8,-1718.5298542347034],[-1718.5298542347034,27450533573621130000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-2.7132122289466155e-9,-1685.2297936166792,-1685.2297936166792,27402098104032020000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: OT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=7.1%, final=13.90%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769005225057_1x2cosap8
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 10.5% | Asymmetry: 21.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-7.091349507223197e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000015374599731617075,0.000015374599731617075]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.98 | Trading Confidence: 2260.1%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 11.4% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.897902397270686e-8,-1385.3683436533936],[-1385.3683436533936,27450521057438810000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-2.0750043375305113e-9,-853.5843986774082,-853.5843986774082,26973781255801336000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=5.7%, final=13.91%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769005237516_h34w39dqs
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 9.0% | Asymmetry: 18.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":3.909280046281788e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.02 | Trading Confidence: 1566.8%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 12.2% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.927981213079801e-8,-1489.652928020597],[-1489.652928020597,27450523880482000000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.7994232819711297e-9,-1085.9267151749402,-1085.9267151749402,26973781059886486000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=6.1%, final=13.88%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769005273935_st1iio568
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.6820 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 17.6% | Asymmetry: 35.3%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-2.0105787603432257e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.0000025888084519995073,0.0000025888084519995073]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.95 | Trading Confidence: 2033.1%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 10.9% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.943646054700164e-8,-1328.869121208571],[-1328.869121208571,27450516461613826000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.462721027329877e-9,-481.7674477094836,-481.7674477094836,26973828552057442000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=5.5%, final=13.85%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769005594004_nr1zzv0lo
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 8.5% | Asymmetry: 17.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-3.6900542047335565e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.0000035071613425169347,0.0000035071613425169347]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.96 | Trading Confidence: 1904.8%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 9.2% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.0512276075020524e-8,-1115.2947545119723],[-1115.2947545119723,27450435025723760000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.5305323398074023e-9,890.4931411113392,890.4931411113392,24271928631560946000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT","IG"]
dominant_module: OT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=4.6%, final=13.86%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769005680384_ckqv2ilqg
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 13.5% | Asymmetry: 27.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":1.034524001545857e-8,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.04 | Trading Confidence: 1715.9%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 11.1% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.0380596504556572e-8,-1355.2114970314906],[-1355.2114970314906,27450419955525018000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-5.838484687824967e-10,1329.5886816275001,1329.5886816275001,24272007298735886000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT","IG"]
dominant_module: OT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=5.6%, final=13.90%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769005848522_vzunf6idb
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 9.5% | Asymmetry: 19.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":1.425103774741639e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.06 | Trading Confidence: 1223.9%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.02% | Growth Rate: 0.02% | Kelly: 15.2% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.8963204589445475e-8,-1847.2441978290196],[-1847.2441978290196,27450002834759627000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [2.441524767981806e-9,2603.525612622233,2603.525612622233,-27406048598916354000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=7.6%, final=13.86%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769005868212_tvpcsrlnz
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 9.5% | Asymmetry: 19.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-3.845460701349997e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.00003580251714311904,0.00003580251714311904]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.99 | Trading Confidence: 2230.5%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 11.6% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.7633409891805194e-8,-1402.5048883088177],[-1402.5048883088177,27448657833442652000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [1.33553157882647e-9,1704.4226418076285,1704.4226418076285,-27405155359775855000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=5.8%, final=13.86%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769005881979_51hsktd0t
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.6565 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 17.2% | Asymmetry: 34.4%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":1.5836446657497096e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.98 | Trading Confidence: 1684.8%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 9.4% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.8572458498972547e-8,-1131.048182391647],[-1131.048182391647,27448642079189840000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [2.6559761013717498e-9,1744.2981683287896,1744.2981683287896,-27405102748108530000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=4.7%, final=13.85%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769005894690_k0nv6wuya
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.5774 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 16.5% | Asymmetry: 33.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":5.563466163513756e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.08 | Trading Confidence: 1234.3%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 8.3% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.785864463919591e-8,-959.3647047557201],[-959.3647047557201,27265982663369327000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [2.555838382602987e-9,1385.9716170608508,1385.9716170608508,-27226873007709676000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=4.1%, final=13.84%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769005925026_gagjo2lbn
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 9.5% | Asymmetry: 19.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-1.8797693834927082e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000025031775696054195,0.000025031775696054195]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.03 | Trading Confidence: 1820.5%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 7.1% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.8881873471663407e-8,-808.9168893427174],[-808.9168893427174,27234345580170820000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [2.620019377601591e-9,1396.3721809272993,1396.3721809272993,-27197105670680383000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=3.6%, final=13.87%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769005951216_vhx34gua3
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 10.0% | Asymmetry: 20.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-7.176045915109181e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.00004890823350966986,0.00004890823350966986]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.03 | Trading Confidence: 1820.5%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 7.0% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.9996363546893187e-8,-800.0926375700312],[-800.0926375700312,27234344606814368000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [2.540897993447358e-9,1324.8837015291172,1324.8837015291172,-27197109021550700000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=3.5%, final=13.88%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769006062821_h8rwufl2d
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 9.5% | Asymmetry: 19.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-1.4838278434129711e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.00002223981297443072,0.00002223981297443072]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.01 | Trading Confidence: 1566.5%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 8.6% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.9865964117126203e-8,-788.7648220494342],[-788.7648220494342,25931032586775912000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [3.663330256278537e-10,537.49451006103,537.49451006103,-25910904257379580000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=4.3%, final=13.91%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769006067721_qmlxfrfdy
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 20.0% | Asymmetry: 40.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-1.484344378803325e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000022243683588855247,0.000022243683588855247]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.98 | Trading Confidence: 1607.1%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 8.6% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.9865915381466774e-8,-788.7402791178972],[-788.7402791178972,25931029588397945000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [3.5747102076342195e-10,551.7005383054501,551.7005383054501,-25910900252754297000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=4.3%, final=13.87%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769006070253_izhtks083
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 174.5% | Asymmetry: 349.0%
ct_type: cusp
ct_jump_direction: unknown
ct_control_params: {"a":-0.013642824135980065,"b":0.000005330642487356074}
ct_critical_points: [0.08249398419235712,-0.08268934961892796,0.00019536542657081323]
ct_reasoning: Type: cusp | Jump Prob: 84.1% unknown | Distance to bifurcation: 0.1091
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.96 | Trading Confidence: 1042.7%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 9.4% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.8612665040528024e-8,-571.9935390367497],[-571.9935390367497,16119380589937418000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-2.447880085385869e-10,-954.1741689276581,-954.1741689276581,16016457614378162000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=4.7%, final=13.82%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769006100920_xswgwmc15
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 10.0% | Asymmetry: 20.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":2.478245654393275e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.96 | Trading Confidence: 2036.9%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 8.3% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.0450416230925158e-8,-767.5345557231217],[-767.5345557231217,25931019963472933000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [1.0630606907368184e-9,652.4266688356109,652.4266688356109,-25910879723296965000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=4.2%, final=13.87%


symbol: XRP/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769006296451_xq7hp7pt8
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 0.2% | Asymmetry: 0.5%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":1.6739658863818275e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.95 | Trading Confidence: 1652.8%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.02% | Growth Rate: 0.02% | Kelly: 19.1% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[7.404084587648765e-8,-53490.17289917621],[-53490.17289917621,2.8349687085192123e+22]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [1.516113923254517e-8,78758.1300447444,78758.1300447444,-1.154878378620698e+22]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=9.6%, final=13.87%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769006711995_q3e4hoi3b
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 13.5% | Asymmetry: 27.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":2.7265892362843292e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.01 | Trading Confidence: 1738.5%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 2.1% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.3170486097630868e-8,-39.27836879169038],[-39.27836879169038,702712333919650600]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [4.191432816029435e-9,91.09983990381434,91.09983990381434,701821513980929700]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.1%, final=13.92%


symbol: AVAX/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769006784978_p5qxee194
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 13.5% | Asymmetry: 27.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-1.698858120714184e-7,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.00023796765331407152,0.00023796765331407152]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.03 | Trading Confidence: 1629.1%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 14.3% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[3.1905921591404904e-7,-2684.0976771276587],[-2684.0976771276587,72086070971435620000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [7.004042258344231e-8,-513.3897408012176,-513.3897408012176,46609820440014830000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=7.1%, final=13.92%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769007296534_8x3its8g8
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 9.0% | Asymmetry: 18.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":4.5704029238025026e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.94 | Trading Confidence: 2309.1%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 4.2% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.3143380495041656e-8,-117.68376141651765],[-117.68376141651765,1063250900427513200]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.5553067510402912e-9,46.492833551129905,46.492833551129905,115097393062820740]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=2.1%, final=13.91%


symbol: XRP/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769007479325_p2wf56iag
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 0.1% | Asymmetry: 0.2%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":1.7340474575076799e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.09 | Trading Confidence: 1036.9%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 10.0% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[7.533119000749037e-8,-10223.945554299218],[-10223.945554299218,8.406442922684597e+21]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [1.545578585663916e-8,16914.416381585906,16914.416381585906,-8.406437036484758e+21]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=5.0%, final=13.86%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769008072763_b55gxc3m9
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.8165 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 32.0% | Asymmetry: 64.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":5.332839454749112e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.92 | Trading Confidence: 3105.7%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 7.7% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.970314637643905e-8,-1302.867212095473],[-1302.867212095473,120265966571579180000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [8.098068256913404e-9,-2113.0006156359623,-2113.0006156359623,119078189968226520000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT","IG"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=3.9%, final=13.89%


symbol: BTC/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769008092234_mydm85jtn
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 4650.0% | Asymmetry: 9300.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-2.704350025748984e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000030024157083638414,0.000030024157083638414]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.08 | Trading Confidence: 1146.3%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 2.1% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: trending
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.010631569712619e-9,-13.307297611802618],[-13.307297611802618,145341052509356540]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [3.163182835611572e-10,-40.15070259698001,-40.15070259698001,145049127288808450]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: trending | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["IG"]
dominant_module: OT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: Extreme instability, High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 20.0%. Kelly=1.0%, final=15.00%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769008124832_ih82euhhs
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 155.0% | Asymmetry: 310.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":7.151693513697021e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.94 | Trading Confidence: 2481.9%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 2.0% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.759509357968422e-8,-4.765274306454091],[-4.765274306454091,2560869363872189]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [8.549244963478512e-10,-18.388843552008588,-18.388843552008588,-1661616343678111.2]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.0%, final=13.91%


symbol: BTC/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769008234171_jdzyk9sj8
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 4365.0% | Asymmetry: 8730.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-9.450477252767632e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000005612627801890909,0.000005612627801890909]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.00 | Trading Confidence: 1490.4%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 2.8% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.652122849763757e-9,-19.38158689943287],[-19.38158689943287,145538763841044500]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [1.1717649338956639e-9,-27.077408433168177,-27.077408433168177,-144608520827169000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: Extreme instability, High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 20.0%. Kelly=1.4%, final=15.00%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769008305078_23sw8dy54
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 168.0% | Asymmetry: 336.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":5.5725485480637375e-12,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.92 | Trading Confidence: 1503.5%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 3.8% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.852061105853642e-8,-8.309110759623483],[-8.309110759623483,2533019494068384.5]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [2.778389004569948e-9,-6.696773815447704,-6.696773815447704,-2325817369437433]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: OT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.9%, final=13.86%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769008590337_es212wwnt
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 14.5% | Asymmetry: 29.0%
ct_type: cusp
ct_jump_direction: unknown
ct_control_params: {"a":-0.01721559844772396,"b":0.000005875055465666586}
ct_critical_points: [0.09269279217610368,-0.09286342450572077,0.00017063232961710462]
ct_reasoning: Type: cusp | Jump Prob: 83.8% unknown | Distance to bifurcation: 0.1377
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.20 | Trading Confidence: 1235.1%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 13.3% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.9637682991327562e-8,-2195.3491840182874],[-2195.3491840182874,120101087274451520000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.3095973011570712e-8,1747.2778148194975,1747.2778148194975,-119946752691384100000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=6.6%, final=13.71%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769008790136_l38pawt2j
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 9.0% | Asymmetry: 18.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-3.8840899862285654e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.0000035981893530999566,0.0000035981893530999566]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.27 | Trading Confidence: 1172.1%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.02% | Growth Rate: 0.02% | Kelly: 16.0% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[3.100380690227272e-8,-3110.609488767027],[-3110.609488767027,123026183375619620000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-7.287626537045832e-9,1555.265875722187,1555.265875722187,-116987313723465880000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=8.0%, final=13.86%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769008790365_ucd7rtif7
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 188.0% | Asymmetry: 376.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-9.676091961404709e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.00001795929839145979,0.00001795929839145979]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.16 | Trading Confidence: 1194.7%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 14.0% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.7963445003892702e-8,-18.949444553402685],[-18.949444553402685,283092430247194.8]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-7.643917773365352e-10,-1.3756113901076077,-1.3756113901076077,-85366969617164.55]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=7.0%, final=13.86%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769008800393_x2gxmdol4
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 15.5% | Asymmetry: 31.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-6.7096032627817e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.0000047292012231741985,0.0000047292012231741985]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: high_entropy
se_reasoning: Regime: high_entropy | Ratio: 1.36 | Trading Confidence: 1055.8%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.02% | Growth Rate: 0.02% | Kelly: 16.1% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[3.10127861458199e-8,-3142.0980891173103],[-3142.0980891173103,123026179558359560000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-7.40631736914445e-9,1455.6642713536562,1455.6642713536562,-116987269173831520000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=8.1%, final=13.86%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769008860264_1r87i4ft0
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 175.0% | Asymmetry: 350.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-1.155331768940557e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000019624234753152854,0.000019624234753152854]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.15 | Trading Confidence: 1164.4%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 10.2% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.854973828357128e-8,-13.006346156130574],[-13.006346156130574,214547357301066.47]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-2.739855608870601e-9,-3.1027448595268465,-3.1027448595268465,8961339564401.078]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=5.1%, final=13.86%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769008869419_u5bfnvzab
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 15.0% | Asymmetry: 30.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-1.8375680963483046e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000002474919592194397,0.000002474919592194397]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: high_entropy
se_reasoning: Regime: high_entropy | Ratio: 1.33 | Trading Confidence: 614.9%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 9.0% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.929150234176483e-8,-1678.1583430845333],[-1678.1583430845333,122678141090304490000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-8.288716380139587e-9,1834.2628627272684,1834.2628627272684,-116647760780890640000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=4.5%, final=13.85%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769008980010_5dprsk6hl
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 9.0% | Asymmetry: 18.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-4.5373812949253476e-13,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-3.88903642518527e-7,3.88903642518527e-7]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.22 | Trading Confidence: 689.4%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 6.1% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[3.072796419308938e-8,-223.30708306831062],[-223.30708306831062,3024799216007085600]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.1271948150962801e-8,-218.8034574982361,-218.8034574982361,3021239327541620000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=3.1%, final=13.91%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769008995799_q6kx0l2ua
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.8165 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 18.5% | Asymmetry: 37.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-7.540733997356356e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.00005013559612808833,0.00005013559612808833]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.25 | Trading Confidence: 804.6%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 5.3% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[3.084193705921723e-8,-195.01164286696144],[-195.01164286696144,3024803148343255600]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.1373845573994853e-8,-197.17240588239838,-197.17240588239838,3021251830331657700]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=2.7%, final=13.87%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769009413433_rrjoao1ly
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 169.5% | Asymmetry: 339.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":5.814903876763719e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.95 | Trading Confidence: 1096.5%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 2.2% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: trending
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.7277319832628913e-8,-3.5852276608572833],[-3.5852276608572833,261502280784383.1]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.6326864499233127e-10,30.711122091998853,30.711122091998853,34269707657639.625]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: trending | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["IG"]
dominant_module: OT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.1%, final=13.91%


symbol: BTC/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769011063907_u5sqxew1i
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.8660 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 3605.0% | Asymmetry: 7210.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":2.7030706931148635e-14,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.99 | Trading Confidence: 559.2%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 5.1% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.616476559608717e-9,-21.888335260280307],[-21.888335260280307,2908727095554022.5]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.2713329295421417e-10,3.352415217339047,3.352415217339047,-2395845524550510]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: Extreme instability, High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 20.0%. Kelly=2.6%, final=15.00%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769011082026_zudzq5l8g
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 14.5% | Asymmetry: 29.0%
ct_type: cusp
ct_jump_direction: unknown
ct_control_params: {"a":-0.010692163274977693,"b":0.000019428908341466867}
ct_critical_points: [0.0726583194398596,-0.0735670181387532,0.0009086986988935863]
ct_reasoning: Type: cusp | Jump Prob: 84.3% unknown | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0854
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.97 | Trading Confidence: 1108.0%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 1.4% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.1432235549878169e-8,-19.376248646670522],[-19.376248646670522,692641938762113300]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [1.789741030792116e-10,-172.67773623257727,-172.67773623257727,539711727055676900]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.7%, final=13.75%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769011537569_x86n6610c
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 8.5% | Asymmetry: 17.0%
ct_type: cusp
ct_jump_direction: unknown
ct_control_params: {"a":-0.010771751531635003,"b":0.0000017845157591355495}
ct_critical_points: [0.07334707444121584,-0.07342990767531357,0.00008283323409770141]
ct_reasoning: Type: cusp | Jump Prob: 84.3% unknown | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0862
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.98 | Trading Confidence: 1453.2%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 1.4% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.1603063105928104e-8,-19.411181015770584],[-19.411181015770584,692588552019577900]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-2.512994403005401e-10,93.57705050690001,93.57705050690001,-692302867835829000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.7%, final=13.77%


symbol: BTC/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769013653033_yukd6mjwq
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 4635.0% | Asymmetry: 9270.0%
ct_type: cusp
ct_jump_direction: unknown
ct_control_params: {"a":-0.005283421770849342,"b":-0.00011310912088341485}
ct_critical_points: [0.056088052191710897,-0.04484607021047457,-0.011241981981236326]
ct_reasoning: Type: cusp | Jump Prob: 84.7% unknown | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0299
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.92 | Trading Confidence: 2089.6%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: -0.01% | Growth Rate: -0.01% | Kelly: 0.0% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.79145456086848e-9,31.138836823000556],[31.138836823000556,1122716939049085.9]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [3.509035026121923e-10,3.1130546838596587,3.1130546838596587,-131269840073920.69]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.0%, final=14.04%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769014911732_9u0nrf9pi
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 171.0% | Asymmetry: 342.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-9.701097466685631e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.00000568656236716162,0.00000568656236716162]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.98 | Trading Confidence: 1062.6%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 1.3% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.9766635523995106e-8,-8.002348252057859],[-8.002348252057859,139656126512962530]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [2.9673096595748055e-9,80.40693757334911,80.40693757334911,136485738741543620]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.6%, final=13.91%


symbol: BTC/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769016488759_avr9ghx96
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 4515.0% | Asymmetry: 9030.0%
ct_type: cusp
ct_jump_direction: unknown
ct_control_params: {"a":-0.005845073291999672,"b":0.00011413766143980116}
ct_critical_points: [0.0482866274572589,-0.05840463087497911,0.010118003417720187]
ct_reasoning: Type: cusp | Jump Prob: 84.7% unknown | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0365
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.01 | Trading Confidence: 1446.7%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 2.0% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[3.4164881788847883e-9,-4.4912889107309315],[-4.4912889107309315,458276916842763.5]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-3.4652840147821534e-10,-0.0019614356463377725,-0.0019614356463377725,113629574097493.84]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.0%, final=14.03%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769016741107_ucg230xtg
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 220.0% | Asymmetry: 440.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":4.859029618733515e-12,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.00 | Trading Confidence: 786.6%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 1.3% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.7009399675163363e-8,-58.99840895441887],[-58.99840895441887,12765944530695248000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [1.9990165399218e-9,-60.885125726364976,-60.885125726364976,12761128946736960000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.6%, final=13.91%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769016748545_6zppo05zg
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 157.0% | Asymmetry: 314.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":2.8655684633732e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.98 | Trading Confidence: 1234.3%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 1.9% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.7088232938355095e-8,-87.16541415465338],[-87.16541415465338,12765943835469924000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [2.095097361038307e-9,-94.00767441436874,-94.00767441436874,12761128491463027000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT","IG"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.9%, final=13.94%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769016848901_fgrzjxdnl
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 212.5% | Asymmetry: 425.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":1.1708008430144026e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.99 | Trading Confidence: 830.3%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 2.1% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.6897414381783864e-8,-95.75989038831104],[-95.75989038831104,12765939909581398000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [2.221749231253381e-9,438.592251057743,438.592251057743,12681052489542965000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.0%, final=13.90%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769016851485_dej47k56a
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 221.5% | Asymmetry: 443.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-1.4127327312732147e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000021700481801665254,0.000021700481801665254]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.96 | Trading Confidence: 1389.0%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 1.3% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.701526100553909e-8,-59.4538856177869],[-59.4538856177869,12765941018714817000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [1.6614849745386146e-9,528.4280623073264,528.4280623073264,12681057030893191000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.6%, final=13.88%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769016904381_49szac6y4
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 217.5% | Asymmetry: 435.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-3.221597169091832e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.00003276989049463868,0.00003276989049463868]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.95 | Trading Confidence: 821.5%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 3.5% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.6323900172462826e-8,-165.1172905801297],[-165.1172905801297,12765940263168810000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.5195848890732185e-9,409.2513784366298,409.2513784366298,12681074647271217000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.8%, final=13.88%


symbol: XRP/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769017307220_12rbr6pha
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7117 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 0.2% | Asymmetry: 0.4%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-9.696630911956437e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.00001797834893416378,0.00001797834893416378]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.02 | Trading Confidence: 1023.5%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: -0.00% | Growth Rate: -0.00% | Kelly: 0.0% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[6.17678367777679e-8,433.7472237464716],[433.7472237464716,85518287038390140000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [2.439672091434575e-10,-512.7923326387477,-512.7923326387477,-85518251985708730000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.0%, final=13.82%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769017634607_2e5klwno5
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 163.0% | Asymmetry: 326.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":3.776774214122457e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.95 | Trading Confidence: 1553.5%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 3.1% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.0834180641471876e-8,-191.79432045226332],[-191.79432045226332,15497802644452725000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-9.048365981853606e-10,-454.04141016786366,-454.04141016786366,-9865811900527813000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.6%, final=13.87%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769017645137_2gzae15qd
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 174.0% | Asymmetry: 348.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-3.863374659210098e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000011348090381513678,0.000011348090381513678]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.00 | Trading Confidence: 1736.6%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 4.5% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.0699358549062358e-8,-278.9769571284023],[-278.9769571284023,15497819138383317000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-9.34634448439646e-10,-438.5417933764492,-438.5417933764492,-9865806583688612000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=2.3%, final=13.90%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769018087952_cp30ruwy2
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 14.0% | Asymmetry: 28.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":6.279929092519098e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.98 | Trading Confidence: 1378.7%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 9.2% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[3.623498705018205e-8,-147.78880044299913],[-147.78880044299913,283950072603312420]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-4.704775579295705e-9,-120.20024725084255,-120.20024725084255,-154447745394010800]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=4.6%, final=13.85%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769018683460_rwtdby1ji
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 162.0% | Asymmetry: 324.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":1.1242196208809228e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.02 | Trading Confidence: 1246.6%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 4.2% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.0520166116450934e-8,-96.97974631539843],[-96.97974631539843,2822332532484324400]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [6.403987578569364e-9,108.21492640637535,108.21492640637535,2820225019605044000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=2.1%, final=13.87%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769018912137_q7alqjbzd
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 157.5% | Asymmetry: 315.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":1.0249615833744981e-8,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.13 | Trading Confidence: 649.8%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 2.9% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.1891210795782323e-8,-66.19673435215702],[-66.19673435215702,2822330469328407600]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [2.9792860945402175e-9,114.44603404896577,114.44603404896577,2820227954358867500]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.4%, final=13.91%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769018927664_tqkxaanss
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 152.5% | Asymmetry: 305.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":1.4147154151230344e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.03 | Trading Confidence: 545.0%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 3.1% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.1921664444904835e-8,-73.20248826272181],[-73.20248826272181,2822328996277242400]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [2.992684389834241e-9,107.14689015196402,107.14689015196402,2820221435827265500]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.6%, final=13.90%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769019264863_79stgllpc
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.8165 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 19.5% | Asymmetry: 39.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-1.3246811776671092e-8,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.00006645001072653811,0.00006645001072653811]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.01 | Trading Confidence: 892.5%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 9.9% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[3.266227214298598e-8,-132.28976122162047],[-132.28976122162047,301275328081231400]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.7710619977518386e-9,-38.80305601068736,-38.80305601068736,172667948071837340]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=5.0%, final=13.87%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769020207822_hsyrhhek7
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 13.5% | Asymmetry: 27.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-7.471552881932824e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000049905086186790036,0.000049905086186790036]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.02 | Trading Confidence: 1011.2%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 8.6% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[3.112168130216243e-8,-151.78316372421872],[-151.78316372421872,396833305717608960]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.2699399914017634e-9,63.68759556437088,63.68759556437088,267309472771767550]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=4.3%, final=13.85%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769020262841_imsupljkr
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 161.0% | Asymmetry: 322.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":1.518265594223574e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.95 | Trading Confidence: 1891.4%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 3.7% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.732620277296499e-8,-15.686929176351635],[-15.686929176351635,14484497648110042]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-4.209576549306001e-9,21.076699523348832,21.076699523348832,8339442792960093]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: OT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.9%, final=13.92%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769020636204_934w22l2y
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 13.5% | Asymmetry: 27.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":3.329489357049259e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.97 | Trading Confidence: 1424.0%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 8.8% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[3.156835158554505e-8,-155.64665735633935],[-155.64665735633935,396872814119476860]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [6.28882521788221e-10,-48.72366815187883,-48.72366815187883,267339315675201340]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=4.4%, final=13.85%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769020893880_xn9zh7kwr
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.6873 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 16.8% | Asymmetry: 33.5%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-7.393176031428091e-13,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-4.964264306497017e-7,4.964264306497017e-7]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.94 | Trading Confidence: 1681.0%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 7.8% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[3.178569736103678e-8,-324.5708303926936],[-324.5708303926936,4313107789296517600]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-2.3144219457521312e-10,-342.1613161660385,-342.1613161660385,4111246429860785000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=3.9%, final=13.87%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769020929639_idjea8m75
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 17.5% | Asymmetry: 35.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-3.321740278063262e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.00003327531756955026,0.00003327531756955026]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.99 | Trading Confidence: 1114.5%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 7.4% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[3.181494087334698e-8,-308.11652526464417],[-308.11652526464417,4313107774885972000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-2.72186285588984e-10,-300.43212633687403,-300.43212633687403,4111250978810850300]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=3.7%, final=13.86%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769021339958_1wvoz6a8l
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 166.0% | Asymmetry: 332.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-2.350626288410855e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.00000885179132230845,0.00000885179132230845]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.97 | Trading Confidence: 1887.6%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 11.8% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.4764384018662631e-8,-43.67285196330222],[-43.67285196330222,12285622976889204]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [2.442896733672994e-9,-38.707641608844824,-38.707641608844824,11393777160169212]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=5.9%, final=13.88%


symbol: XRP/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769021543621_rwciqninm
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 0.2% | Asymmetry: 0.4%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":5.381252515159605e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.97 | Trading Confidence: 2055.8%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.02% | Growth Rate: 0.02% | Kelly: 15.5% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[4.935535036786182e-8,-6.474125703747776],[-6.474125703747776,10906735651500.566]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.7765429454755758e-9,-2.6912826178633944,-2.6912826178633944,307632525015.1543]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=7.7%, final=13.87%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769022032842_z99v3trsv
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 152.5% | Asymmetry: 305.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-7.015930503095643e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.0000048359523374738516,0.0000048359523374738516]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.01 | Trading Confidence: 1293.8%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 8.5% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.5031724168329306e-8,-29.452276134172376],[-29.452276134172376,11950718873184392]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [3.156399058286649e-9,-10.516363468332994,-10.516363468332994,-10900268785409886]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=4.3%, final=13.86%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769022087369_ixrlp8kvt
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 163.5% | Asymmetry: 327.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-3.6084682889033937e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000010967327673448066,0.000010967327673448066]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.05 | Trading Confidence: 1395.6%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 8.1% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.5203889023677968e-8,-28.229203542912323],[-28.229203542912323,11951661924352610]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [2.450926091021715e-9,-12.316564721555407,-12.316564721555407,-10910518888727184]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=4.1%, final=13.88%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769022102923_vxodxrt5e
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 160.0% | Asymmetry: 320.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":5.857319669252179e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.04 | Trading Confidence: 1318.0%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 9.1% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.5413255478379736e-8,-31.66271465940957],[-31.66271465940957,11951627876667550]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [2.057028049086779e-9,-18.94837297893294,-18.94837297893294,-10911639425993298]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT","IG"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=4.6%, final=13.87%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769023162195_6lbyuv204
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.6296 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 15.2% | Asymmetry: 30.3%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-2.9779273262749432e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000031506228623744346,0.000031506228623744346]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.01 | Trading Confidence: 1256.9%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 7.1% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[3.45063822500646e-8,-428.97600023693275],[-428.97600023693275,6320740175862750000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [2.310660268444968e-9,-203.2269136912446,-203.2269136912446,5654733407078974000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=3.6%, final=13.83%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769023280222_u7onqafuw
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 14.5% | Asymmetry: 29.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-4.963929274695881e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.00001286329309144938,0.00001286329309144938]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.97 | Trading Confidence: 1682.1%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 5.9% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[3.4629340181999654e-8,-344.63006651410865],[-344.63006651410865,6285795375316141000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [1.7097372358296581e-9,-182.13978066965132,-182.13978066965132,5619468867494200000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=3.0%, final=13.89%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769023637189_cy4d4ghc0
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.6636 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 16.8% | Asymmetry: 33.7%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":8.145508613438084e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.02 | Trading Confidence: 1156.8%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 6.3% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[3.418332047964618e-8,-367.0963879771685],[-367.0963879771685,6285812330294651000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-8.296265907339409e-11,120.42835682720045,120.42835682720045,-2135059653763010000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=3.2%, final=13.84%


symbol: XRP/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769023677495_p9zil036t
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.8660 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 0.5% | Asymmetry: 0.9%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-3.7531676187958745e-7,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.0003537026820554176,0.0003537026820554176]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.99 | Trading Confidence: 1679.1%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 13.9% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[3.932245807559768e-8,-3028.2149984628218],[-3028.2149984628218,140478968550279560000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-5.361147903553396e-9,-3173.7265087423884,-3173.7265087423884,140358782345641410000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=6.9%, final=13.90%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769023714491_12a1ygp0b
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 18.0% | Asymmetry: 36.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-7.763538285991238e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000005087087669119152,0.000005087087669119152]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.94 | Trading Confidence: 2668.6%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 13.4% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.0433035043957565e-8,-1983.8956352270386],[-1983.8956352270386,55762165740870300000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.4585583072587139e-8,-2368.3521011745265,-2368.3521011745265,51655548888322800000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=6.7%, final=13.88%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769023762327_ty7cmtjad
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.6770 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 22.1% | Asymmetry: 44.1%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-8.001924906445974e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.00005164599018460831,0.00005164599018460831]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.87 | Trading Confidence: 3494.2%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 13.5% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.8778998528795967e-8,-2476.1590242893867],[-2476.1590242893867,66654073648401826000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.2087495387947922e-8,-2595.0902193701017,-2595.0902193701017,61929317164378900000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=6.7%, final=13.86%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769023789721_mm5b7d88q
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 11.0% | Asymmetry: 22.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-1.5858361401945557e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.00002299156468645661,0.00002299156468645661]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.87 | Trading Confidence: 3170.3%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 13.6% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.8784642033261628e-8,-10826.112827504565],[-10826.112827504565,2.7469434639779606e+21]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.0568273211588273e-8,-13813.79950503766,-13813.79950503766,2.741442725733803e+21]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT","IG"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=6.8%, final=13.87%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769023841968_nmgnykqs7
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 14.0% | Asymmetry: 28.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-4.313387029648106e-12,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000001199081180133092,0.000001199081180133092]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.86 | Trading Confidence: 2643.4%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 11.3% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.5847768875599057e-8,-8981.071826851563],[-8981.071826851563,2.746943342947029e+21]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-6.438470085204929e-9,-8233.144186501848,-8233.144186501848,2.741387759803252e+21]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=5.7%, final=13.90%


symbol: BTC/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769023847139_e0x1se2o4
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 5470.0% | Asymmetry: 10940.0%
ct_type: cusp
ct_jump_direction: unknown
ct_control_params: {"a":-0.01011314713818853,"b":0.00022348551682783839}
ct_critical_points: [0.06475974843044466,-0.07609720266188527,0.011337454231440627]
ct_reasoning: Type: cusp | Jump Prob: 84.4% unknown | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0677
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.00 | Trading Confidence: 1698.9%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 12.1% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.0227574503865085e-8,-34.480235171343494],[-34.480235171343494,2728944251066654.5]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [2.714922383843992e-9,15.1861989158303,15.1861989158303,-36085847123721.75]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=6.0%, final=14.00%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769023858679_1p7t7bav9
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 281.0% | Asymmetry: 562.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":3.680607654890557e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.88 | Trading Confidence: 3526.5%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.02% | Growth Rate: 0.02% | Kelly: 19.9% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.57781669310026e-8,-492.19166301410183],[-492.19166301410183,3423923982055604000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-7.237545837637796e-10,-198.34091521364553,-198.34091521364553,3387999995621136000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=10.0%, final=13.86%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769024008187_95a9ph3gz
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 228.5% | Asymmetry: 457.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":9.231565774238487e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.04 | Trading Confidence: 1503.1%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.02% | Growth Rate: 0.02% | Kelly: 16.8% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.3595685663796107e-8,-399.3582597541168],[-399.3582597541168,3421795009968943600]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [3.9622078893090275e-9,519.3226229811661,519.3226229811661,-3419201070492301300]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT","IG"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=8.4%, final=13.89%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769024186159_3d0mc1r1f
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 273.0% | Asymmetry: 546.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-3.1968515567991706e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000010322873561173378,0.000010322873561173378]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.14 | Trading Confidence: 1296.5%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 12.5% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.2687130186211047e-8,-280.2200462475451],[-280.2200462475451,3406491356615121400]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [4.3462218439091135e-9,251.00457942219288,251.00457942219288,-3405798592151335400]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=6.3%, final=13.90%


symbol: BTC/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769024251983_b3v5nr05r
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 5.0% | Asymmetry: 10.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":2.0489317185931496e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.98 | Trading Confidence: 1605.1%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 4.8% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[9.622288247592011e-9,-11.444697833250022],[-11.444697833250022,1483559953359832.5]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-2.3584949580886606e-9,4.824539948076831,4.824539948076831,-1359691171281186]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: Extreme instability, High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 20.0%. Kelly=2.4%, final=15.00%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769024289238_oyavrrjao
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.9129 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 372.5% | Asymmetry: 745.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":3.6055153777546214e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.05 | Trading Confidence: 2122.6%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.02% | Growth Rate: 0.02% | Kelly: 15.1% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.3247082640042367e-8,-58.60184439866559],[-58.60184439866559,37037291271172430]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-2.831982816326783e-9,-60.01774093383503,-60.01774093383503,34617964586076616]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=7.6%, final=13.89%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769024314563_k1xxi8ge0
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.8165 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 27.0% | Asymmetry: 54.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-1.475306574763183e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000022175862063387624,0.000022175862063387624]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.11 | Trading Confidence: 1888.7%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.02% | Growth Rate: 0.02% | Kelly: 19.6% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.906727972235846e-8,-23852.853247481118],[-23852.853247481118,4.376670910157121e+21]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [1.0856172728777357e-8,4630.903102559145,4630.903102559145,-1.1091112991083182e+21]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=9.8%, final=13.85%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769024323787_kxw8qcur6
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 240.5% | Asymmetry: 481.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":8.036963088902967e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.95 | Trading Confidence: 1490.1%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.02% | Growth Rate: 0.02% | Kelly: 16.2% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.5521439835842678e-8,-72.25812014752013],[-72.25812014752013,39350175733709250]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-5.2157346166542096e-9,-59.06904475885469,-59.06904475885469,36910707064357576]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=8.1%, final=13.87%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769024338213_wrrz3om1h
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 13.0% | Asymmetry: 26.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-5.155869413630232e-12,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.0000013109626760044484,0.0000013109626760044484]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.09 | Trading Confidence: 1695.2%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.02% | Growth Rate: 0.02% | Kelly: 17.9% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.946338176535401e-8,-21793.477287619095],[-21793.477287619095,4.3766705659840954e+21]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [1.0185213243978318e-8,2381.6594405828655,2381.6594405828655,-1.1091115770671436e+21]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=8.9%, final=13.85%


symbol: BTC/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769024416243_6n33o140s
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 4725.0% | Asymmetry: 9450.0%
ct_type: cusp
ct_jump_direction: unknown
ct_control_params: {"a":-0.00855758013066757,"b":-0.00011132621811012698}
ct_critical_points: [0.06844989090904406,-0.06187904806586633,-0.006570842843177707]
ct_reasoning: Type: cusp | Jump Prob: 84.5% unknown | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0639
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.02 | Trading Confidence: 841.5%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 2.4% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[7.3232177692796374e-9,-5.851625570378459],[-5.851625570378459,1045737825739892.6]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.1014165746083852e-9,6.242288376496756,6.242288376496756,414721455837339.06]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.2%, final=13.99%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769024458840_sr8ksia0w
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 217.5% | Asymmetry: 435.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":2.7917795340215486e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.94 | Trading Confidence: 1798.1%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 13.0% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.7792226879742773e-8,-58.69550832888938],[-58.69550832888938,38964744627438590]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-4.041152196158653e-9,-29.507578720881547,-29.507578720881547,38226099301051064]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=6.5%, final=13.87%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769024515391_bcxiv184c
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 9.5% | Asymmetry: 19.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-5.642936631305815e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000013714878333772919,0.000013714878333772919]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.13 | Trading Confidence: 1170.2%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.02% | Growth Rate: 0.02% | Kelly: 16.4% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.1620897828342916e-8,-20131.236461503308],[-20131.236461503308,4.378288427725162e+21]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [9.393555468509161e-9,4401.467470648336,4401.467470648336,-1.1072787210497397e+21]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=8.2%, final=13.86%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769024524855_dam1ssh4s
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7286 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 20.2% | Asymmetry: 40.5%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":8.896435749164242e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.07 | Trading Confidence: 1519.7%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.02% | Growth Rate: 0.02% | Kelly: 16.5% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.1658392662418126e-8,-20225.339905588855],[-20225.339905588855,4.378288428397792e+21]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [9.315794453363586e-9,5351.424214189517,5351.424214189517,-1.1072787141156696e+21]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=8.2%, final=13.90%


symbol: BTC/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769024551234_4pyhc91us
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 4980.0% | Asymmetry: 9960.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-3.7249712713633796e-12,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.0000011142966797287247,0.0000011142966797287247]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.00 | Trading Confidence: 1546.8%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 1.5% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[6.478715930193359e-9,-3.5773795441660625],[-3.5773795441660625,924698718575628.8]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-7.886850422666295e-10,5.668676223998201,5.668676223998201,800649823381472.4]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: Extreme instability, High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 20.0%. Kelly=0.8%, final=15.00%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769024578866_7paw3jd74
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 222.0% | Asymmetry: 444.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":4.793887595339781e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.98 | Trading Confidence: 1378.7%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 13.9% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.4906593027169507e-8,-77.2258116810706],[-77.2258116810706,43316758816946056]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [1.5051018257942099e-9,-39.87413558950803,-39.87413558950803,42582126850913180]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=7.0%, final=13.87%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769024586816_fnrv7tdz0
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.6658 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 21.3% | Asymmetry: 42.6%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":3.3068943510512197e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.02 | Trading Confidence: 1544.2%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.02% | Growth Rate: 0.02% | Kelly: 17.1% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.3536570671111473e-8,-20899.579737005675],[-20899.579737005675,4.377997585648272e+21]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [3.915203238635581e-9,-1150.955353086334,-1150.955353086334,-1.1070035800179291e+21]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=8.6%, final=13.86%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769024588437_1wkodpf9l
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 215.0% | Asymmetry: 430.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":4.367674874656708e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.98 | Trading Confidence: 1612.2%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.02% | Growth Rate: 0.02% | Kelly: 15.9% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.4362305750798323e-8,-84.55898478544934],[-84.55898478544934,43102823952525410]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [3.834616188446806e-10,-53.21510296122575,-53.21510296122575,42837364705634940]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: OT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=8.0%, final=13.87%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769024595152_zidyzi1v2
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.8660 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 331.5% | Asymmetry: 663.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":4.2439690800385285e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.00 | Trading Confidence: 1038.1%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.02% | Growth Rate: 0.02% | Kelly: 16.2% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.4478730610594914e-8,-85.85460417365886],[-85.85460417365886,43102566087800200]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [5.253711386467076e-10,-51.00258181842256,-51.00258181842256,42837815554812950]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT","IG"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=8.1%, final=13.88%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769024645090_8b34zuo6c
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 14.0% | Asymmetry: 28.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-7.437854368695521e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.00004979241698858546,0.00004979241698858546]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.07 | Trading Confidence: 967.0%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.02% | Growth Rate: 0.02% | Kelly: 17.4% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.4083409565365544e-8,-21183.652633168145],[-21183.652633168145,4.377997284962448e+21]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [3.910812279205036e-9,3985.8327778306248,3985.8327778306248,-1.1070028384366892e+21]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=8.7%, final=13.86%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769024656936_h4evgue8h
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 210.0% | Asymmetry: 420.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-6.297524310367758e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000004581675206867665,0.000004581675206867665]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.01 | Trading Confidence: 1209.8%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 11.1% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.521028482225153e-8,-63.56232763387272],[-63.56232763387272,43881929719278980]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [1.9033672055627236e-9,-20.674700949685857,-20.674700949685857,43594751840144370]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=5.6%, final=13.88%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769024772564_39tsxzta3
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 15.0% | Asymmetry: 30.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":3.509219377551054e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.97 | Trading Confidence: 1664.0%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.02% | Growth Rate: 0.02% | Kelly: 17.1% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.649470943475958e-8,-20443.14378929056],[-20443.14378929056,4.3736699813676413e+21]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [9.660611398919975e-10,24605.659836779414,24605.659836779414,-4.366698612154229e+21]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=8.5%, final=13.86%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769024828391_npfmdgtfp
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 10.5% | Asymmetry: 21.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-4.111721983618316e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.00003702126408619023,0.00003702126408619023]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.01 | Trading Confidence: 1748.2%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.02% | Growth Rate: 0.02% | Kelly: 16.2% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.770892728428092e-8,-19340.440495704835],[-19340.440495704835,4.373669569289341e+21]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.7763413429600984e-9,23519.517985652208,23519.517985652208,-4.366698104182103e+21]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=8.1%, final=13.88%


symbol: XRP/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769024829269_tq0dek6fm
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.5774 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 0.2% | Asymmetry: 0.4%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-8.308436287919139e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000005262583740559111,0.000005262583740559111]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.03 | Trading Confidence: 1441.0%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.02% | Growth Rate: 0.02% | Kelly: 17.0% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[7.613987673831552e-8,-120296.32029520217],[-120296.32029520217,2.7347450828981037e+23]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.1302801347261014e-8,214000.6600791329,214000.6600791329,-2.7318976846971804e+23]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=8.5%, final=13.87%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769024830486_geas2delt
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 15.5% | Asymmetry: 31.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":3.0176144844548635e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.98 | Trading Confidence: 1512.0%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 14.9% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.8223731543819123e-8,-17881.09265059106],[-17881.09265059106,4.3736694652226843e+21]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.2771378904178717e-9,23195.538829162095,23195.538829162095,-4.366698106458326e+21]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=7.5%, final=13.87%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769024941012_buvlocgwu
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7284 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 18.8% | Asymmetry: 37.7%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-2.7219237955956895e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000003012155261378852,0.000003012155261378852]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.97 | Trading Confidence: 1455.5%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.02% | Growth Rate: 0.02% | Kelly: 16.8% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.8851013236493815e-8,-18847.45018020891],[-18847.45018020891,4.326042087947018e+21]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-7.353370502839599e-11,26906.84867776563,26906.84867776563,-4.3197487350951895e+21]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=8.4%, final=13.86%


symbol: XRP/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769025083762_wth8jlo5f
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 0.1% | Asymmetry: 0.2%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":5.428693258403999e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.05 | Trading Confidence: 944.4%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 5.7% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[6.228508106846031e-8,-12953.46839796238],[-12953.46839796238,1.6238542086974344e+22]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-7.344033694194382e-9,19217.439976591384,19217.439976591384,679062940036001400000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=2.9%, final=13.87%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769025088846_h2y57ac2m
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 204.0% | Asymmetry: 408.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":3.860232938945181e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.03 | Trading Confidence: 1372.2%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 4.4% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.3202126318211665e-8,-26.135441691988326],[-26.135441691988326,43896166568695740]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-5.438030267529561e-9,20.554238565507156,20.554238565507156,-43076339151704060]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT","IG"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=2.2%, final=13.88%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769025103634_1nqw2og6c
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 10.0% | Asymmetry: 20.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":8.737427290726557e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.01 | Trading Confidence: 1545.8%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 10.6% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.790204924531291e-8,-5018.107194184728],[-5018.107194184728,1.636529916542974e+21]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.906629639122936e-9,6009.338827637748,6009.338827637748,-1.6327596554490214e+21]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=5.3%, final=13.90%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769025104935_j71rl25w3
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 207.5% | Asymmetry: 415.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":7.550608067467823e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.02 | Trading Confidence: 1020.8%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 2.9% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.302647109763222e-8,-11.1920016552821],[-11.1920016552821,8478198841406784]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-3.6035433212385624e-9,19.066270378140356,19.066270378140356,-7689101939815492]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.5%, final=13.88%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769025106935_q4tt3vs8y
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 209.5% | Asymmetry: 419.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":1.0101456347418177e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.93 | Trading Confidence: 1600.7%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 2.8% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.305101067300401e-8,-10.583822353778764],[-10.583822353778764,8478145661544249]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-3.579906435565373e-9,19.632102068119735,19.632102068119735,-7689080747697843]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT","IG"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.4%, final=13.87%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769025312096_ttdklazqy
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.5808 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 13.5% | Asymmetry: 27.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-2.294608758072955e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000008745682283414589,0.000008745682283414589]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.97 | Trading Confidence: 1606.4%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 11.1% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.693828093951194e-8,-5259.72542251731],[-5259.72542251731,1.636529382568541e+21]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-9.824712339519473e-10,9275.544279499465,9275.544279499465,-1.6363737848536532e+21]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=5.6%, final=13.84%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769025315130_jwb0012d1
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7416 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 18.5% | Asymmetry: 37.1%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-6.291522818330433e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000004579491535942403,0.000004579491535942403]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.97 | Trading Confidence: 1628.3%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 10.7% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.6869505355428994e-8,-5041.801364378368],[-5041.801364378368,1.6365293821963495e+21]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-9.13996618114959e-10,8987.110398780294,8987.110398780294,-1.636373785170434e+21]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT","IG"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=5.3%, final=13.85%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769025614511_h70w066ww
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 14.5% | Asymmetry: 29.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":9.457562112114735e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.01 | Trading Confidence: 1412.9%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 9.2% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.5132067176858657e-8,-4973.322826833719],[-4973.322826833719,1.6664183907171005e+21]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-4.9734914230978e-9,7622.641851332342,7622.641851332342,-1.606234514042844e+21]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=4.6%, final=13.90%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769025633267_8kwprkt74
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 14.5% | Asymmetry: 29.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-2.9653432036291997e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.00003143958865098376,0.00003143958865098376]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.99 | Trading Confidence: 1525.8%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 8.3% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.5251563707165447e-8,-744.6556808441045],[-744.6556808441045,32072870493472653000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-4.8634885281508e-9,248.00986662994927,248.00986662994927,28349766162897465000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=4.1%, final=13.90%


symbol: BTC/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769026107637_e0vnw2yji
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 5065.0% | Asymmetry: 10130.0%
ct_type: cusp
ct_jump_direction: unknown
ct_control_params: {"a":-0.005580442208024523,"b":1.2403508273336366e-10}
ct_critical_points: [0.052822537964163724,-0.052822549077537716,1.1113373974401336e-8]
ct_reasoning: Type: cusp | Jump Prob: 84.6% unknown | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0446
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.00 | Trading Confidence: 1088.1%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: -0.00% | Growth Rate: -0.00% | Kelly: 0.0% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[3.114133523710161e-9,9.895420504145484],[9.895420504145484,805518890185876]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [4.2902252923028004e-10,3.7015324220499393,3.7015324220499393,-514749603937129.9]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.0%, final=14.02%


symbol: BTC/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769029209000_a6lj0jmn5
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 5.0% | Asymmetry: 10.0%
ct_type: cusp
ct_jump_direction: unknown
ct_control_params: {"a":-0.0036261809605532894,"b":2.4632232602437546e-10}
ct_critical_points: [0.04258038320702529,-0.04258041717145352,3.3964428214771354e-8]
ct_reasoning: Type: cusp | Jump Prob: 84.8% unknown | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0290
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.00 | Trading Confidence: 1869.9%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 3.3% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.3149188358679175e-9,-9.576248819395605],[-9.576248819395605,1610000122587648]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [4.548716220245335e-10,3.922465868899338,3.922465868899338,1260468292541119]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.7%, final=14.04%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769029279138_wfj59tu20
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 14.5% | Asymmetry: 29.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-2.3028653450736528e-12,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-8.761402751222075e-7,8.761402751222075e-7]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.90 | Trading Confidence: 1664.0%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 0.2% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.1946972851132192e-8,-8.091765387945168],[-8.091765387945168,15066599397021730000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-8.588106537966637e-9,-276.467101296272,-276.467101296272,15066503326905537000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.1%, final=13.90%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769030126488_v6vxmnrsh
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 8.5% | Asymmetry: 17.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-9.583933766900999e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000005652118708030644,0.000005652118708030644]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.95 | Trading Confidence: 1548.8%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 6.8% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.849326733831633e-8,-316.9020197111605],[-316.9020197111605,15066576891215024000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-5.845460811920053e-9,-78.66489261008357,-78.66489261008357,15066404791919761000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=3.4%, final=13.86%


symbol: ADA/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769030280279_e0wq15ebv
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 0.1% | Asymmetry: 0.1%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":1.0733756739437244e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.93 | Trading Confidence: 2760.4%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 6.6% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[7.637987004377714e-8,-12384.957882039114],[-12384.957882039114,9.691008695341083e+21]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-2.250038885521394e-8,-36859.33852828637,-36859.33852828637,8.964618201697203e+21]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=3.3%, final=13.87%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769030300133_vypts9zvu
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7291 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 23.6% | Asymmetry: 47.1%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-5.4126067816615477e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000004247590211583327,0.000004247590211583327]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.08 | Trading Confidence: 1083.0%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 12.7% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.559466197423005e-8,-587.6093223919015],[-587.6093223919015,15067213390029154000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-2.5063735910729636e-9,-530.0781479756438,-530.0781479756438,15067011599167615000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=6.3%, final=13.85%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769030529080_vphlsr9ev
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.5780 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 13.2% | Asymmetry: 26.5%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":4.060487801706055e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.02 | Trading Confidence: 1152.1%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 10.4% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.3010644045599094e-8,-480.4084426804376],[-480.4084426804376,15067249347463655000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [4.539054163708762e-10,515.6431541570793,515.6431541570793,-15065816651066827000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=5.2%, final=13.83%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769030542496_gpq94sudx
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 16.5% | Asymmetry: 33.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":1.1474232028403932e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.01 | Trading Confidence: 798.8%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 10.4% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.301058752286606e-8,-480.21108878018754],[-480.21108878018754,15067253141247994000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [4.4819856854304316e-10,522.0303132549217,522.0303132549217,-15065825797785213000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=5.2%, final=13.87%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769031073871_kangix1n0
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.8165 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 19.5% | Asymmetry: 39.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-8.008908375129052e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000016339021161143703,0.000016339021161143703]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.09 | Trading Confidence: 934.0%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 5.3% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: trending
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.1625794451836052e-8,-244.6264559558637],[-244.6264559558637,15067251018717645000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.879230817754405e-9,656.8741685471024,656.8741685471024,-15065828278233063000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: trending | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=2.7%, final=13.85%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769063881601_ps8piiik0
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 13.0% | Asymmetry: 26.0%
ct_type: cusp
ct_jump_direction: unknown
ct_control_params: {"a":-0.01105408880223259,"b":0.0000017745563705387924}
ct_critical_points: [0.07430392856607718,-0.07438419562702024,0.00008026706094300339]
ct_reasoning: Type: cusp | Jump Prob: 84.3% unknown | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0884
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.98 | Trading Confidence: 1596.8%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 2.7% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.2219287924764395e-8,-6.242024608574121],[-6.242024608574121,237796427194202.75]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [1.5268504210325896e-9,10.970386052644585,10.970386052644585,-81689149107209.36]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.4%, final=13.78%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769072176157_ssfqcv6mx
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 8.5% | Asymmetry: 17.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":2.4115265434067782e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.03 | Trading Confidence: 1431.7%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 1.6% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.3939058570885407e-8,-4.0743675812858955],[-4.0743675812858955,145881525922806.44]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [2.9822392845171592e-9,3.399193100509718,3.399193100509718,-19804091331436.414]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.8%, final=13.87%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769076463407_6tru5ji33
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 164.0% | Asymmetry: 328.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":1.8840186503259914e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.02 | Trading Confidence: 839.6%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 1.6% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[6.5102456544610485e-9,-4.6032472144521535],[-4.6032472144521535,4212401840842566]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-8.228047584968683e-10,-8.973666970308452,-8.973666970308452,3939870698092135.5]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["IG"]
dominant_module: OT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.8%, final=13.94%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769077959496_lvx73pdzf
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 161.5% | Asymmetry: 323.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-1.7323128129825472e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000007598931532311077,0.000007598931532311077]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.92 | Trading Confidence: 1700.9%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 2.0% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[5.260549194153719e-9,-10.21672861308788],[-10.21672861308788,34861735928718760]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-4.5671871724160343e-10,10.870968511099445,10.870968511099445,28154117005031864]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: OT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.0%, final=13.89%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769079100579_k2jho69tx
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 11.5% | Asymmetry: 23.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-4.5818616486607116e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000012358346233296093,0.000012358346233296093]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.95 | Trading Confidence: 2281.6%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 0.6% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.750449117867925e-8,-1.430824384575715],[-1.430824384575715,157160141612093.75]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [1.3917342602192083e-9,-3.535621634916452,-3.535621634916452,31692517219547.062]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT","IG"]
dominant_module: OT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.3%, final=13.90%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769079918669_ic0hzi0r0
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 8.5% | Asymmetry: 17.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":2.248552847199939e-12,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.95 | Trading Confidence: 1952.0%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 1.4% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.8025840323264785e-8,-3.5566359382975197],[-3.5566359382975197,153946926810724.4]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [7.326070728731242e-10,-5.428198013247369,-5.428198013247369,40932813989247]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.7%, final=13.93%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769081482171_fl31wtkcy
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.6758 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 17.0% | Asymmetry: 34.1%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-6.065472540643778e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.0000449646992674764,0.0000449646992674764]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.95 | Trading Confidence: 1929.4%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 4.3% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.955179779084422e-8,-13.209426764273015],[-13.209426764273015,3389287538935248]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [2.3864922963407337e-10,20.137832571556267,20.137832571556267,3253570823262289.5]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=2.1%, final=13.89%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769088622788_ua72it714
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 182.5% | Asymmetry: 365.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-2.7249640010043496e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000009530589350444791,0.000009530589350444791]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.93 | Trading Confidence: 1636.7%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 4.8% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[5.812040085109355e-9,-4660.9060554068665],[-4660.9060554068665,7.390877618154734e+21]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-8.763484167590495e-10,5786.238264218952,5786.238264218952,-7.38734608989832e+21]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT","IG"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=2.4%, final=13.88%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769091901344_y7o9wq8ce
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 4.5% | Asymmetry: 9.0%
ct_type: cusp
ct_jump_direction: unknown
ct_control_params: {"a":-0.01274591933803085,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [0.0798308190426193,-0.0798308190426193,-1.6933317992746155e-17]
ct_reasoning: Type: cusp | Jump Prob: 84.1% unknown | Distance to bifurcation: 0.1020
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.87 | Trading Confidence: 2616.1%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: -0.01% | Growth Rate: -0.01% | Kelly: 0.0% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.624584597715888e-8,110.69484449189407],[110.69484449189407,248415779984654430]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [1.2448374838731479e-9,-132.98570352038809,-132.98570352038809,-248148997074805540]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.0%, final=13.74%


symbol: BTC/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769092716287_t70v67bhx
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 4665.0% | Asymmetry: 9330.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":6.493462893787635e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.00 | Trading Confidence: 1322.3%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 1.8% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: trending
ig_metric_tensor: [[3.93845193008859e-9,-3.9168475300876096],[-3.9168475300876096,3291947594904192.5]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [7.839850482223903e-10,5.862104136387249,5.862104136387249,-2981763162491621.5]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: trending | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: Extreme instability, High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 20.0%. Kelly=0.9%, final=15.00%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769096747446_6uhk0tgc1
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 191.5% | Asymmetry: 383.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":3.992266718245387e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.03 | Trading Confidence: 1275.0%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 6.2% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: trending
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.9901095973396076e-8,-10.943166538020288],[-10.943166538020288,1333498799250283]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-3.916694043119032e-9,-49.85376295451847,-49.85376295451847,577955022492816.2]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: trending | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=3.1%, final=13.89%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769096772274_sb5i08z4x
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 189.0% | Asymmetry: 378.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":1.1897801570947505e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.00 | Trading Confidence: 1264.7%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 8.8% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: trending
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.9939763048616732e-8,-15.780257992597777],[-15.780257992597777,1335021053673479.2]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-3.6347487177324942e-9,-45.38106652064796,-45.38106652064796,-754931651668921.6]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: trending | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=4.4%, final=13.88%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769096846893_kc17y3hp6
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 9.0% | Asymmetry: 18.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":6.630915508009749e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.97 | Trading Confidence: 1361.9%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 5.6% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.730359162919376e-8,-614.7779898921538],[-614.7779898921538,39988473240512810000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [2.8632386631049163e-9,-903.9974791680686,-903.9974791680686,-39960915336125920000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=2.8%, final=13.92%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769096848281_4m8m28vwq
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 188.5% | Asymmetry: 377.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-2.0268856442444335e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000025992855712319835,0.000025992855712319835]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.92 | Trading Confidence: 1399.5%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 12.7% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: trending
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.9911559723145993e-8,-23.210734010336665],[-23.210734010336665,1344246035190192.8]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-5.242948049672788e-9,-21.865304180773197,-21.865304180773197,-773981042597712.5]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: trending | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=6.4%, final=13.86%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769096966350_8dv4lfisa
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 179.0% | Asymmetry: 358.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":1.3222335077163082e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.01 | Trading Confidence: 950.2%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 12.2% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: trending
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.9424423243655574e-8,-21.748827434834826],[-21.748827434834826,1296094449555970.2]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-4.875218454523784e-9,-4.872547478882458,-4.872547478882458,-943033953169379.2]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: trending | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: OT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=6.1%, final=13.87%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769097011244_65yxfhaj1
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 181.0% | Asymmetry: 362.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":7.884137736082368e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.98 | Trading Confidence: 894.5%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 12.5% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: trending
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.9373463611119028e-8,-22.44350547495725],[-22.44350547495725,1296139660805427.5]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-5.233312646748955e-9,-8.236397307625062,-8.236397307625062,-942939927604647.5]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: trending | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=6.3%, final=13.86%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769097053984_upxfy2jy4
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.8827 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 192.3% | Asymmetry: 384.7%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-2.983949339180543e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.00003153806873806397,0.00003153806873806397]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.99 | Trading Confidence: 742.4%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 12.7% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: trending
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.8695705689463527e-8,-22.589224430235088],[-22.589224430235088,1295642640486988.5]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-4.6510884979509e-9,-11.435502641179374,-11.435502641179374,-942472084481030.2]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: trending | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["IG"]
dominant_module: OT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=6.4%, final=13.90%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769097332940_spqx6ac1x
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 169.0% | Asymmetry: 338.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":7.05914729472518e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.98 | Trading Confidence: 812.2%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 10.9% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: trending
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.8851497406524775e-8,-20.448355798066004],[-20.448355798066004,1305477591595182.8]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-2.9194922035397582e-9,17.78816061765433,17.78816061765433,-1234433405575135.8]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: trending | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=5.5%, final=13.88%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769099594612_x2wjcvahp
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.6875 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 16.7% | Asymmetry: 33.5%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":5.245163310826594e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.02 | Trading Confidence: 1135.3%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 1.9% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.3714837553094074e-8,-4.0136539068746195],[-4.0136539068746195,2917395835797732]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [3.8341293571297944e-9,8.652388540050108,8.652388540050108,36027125056720]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.0%, final=13.88%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769100525404_i9i87t3et
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.9077 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 236.4% | Asymmetry: 472.8%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-1.0575299712274068e-8,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.00005937255177345299,0.00005937255177345299]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.96 | Trading Confidence: 1105.7%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 3.3% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.7056650345620494e-8,-22.176781359610224],[-22.176781359610224,65910981119289544]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-2.6202706798434786e-9,-47.64222052728849,-47.64222052728849,-48255850348349760]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.6%, final=13.94%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769101206614_y27v19hj4
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 8.5% | Asymmetry: 17.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":3.242555228062196e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.99 | Trading Confidence: 1066.1%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 3.7% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.137065340873424e-8,-6.516011571254255],[-6.516011571254255,1508587389879565.2]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.4811342180149746e-9,3.0018279500485683,3.0018279500485683,-1448188961509949.2]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.9%, final=13.87%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769101726644_ox66abevj
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 161.0% | Asymmetry: 322.0%
ct_type: cusp
ct_jump_direction: unknown
ct_control_params: {"a":-0.012537466807372062,"b":0.00035613643204376573}
ct_critical_points: [0.07078828578074081,-0.08549900643528147,0.014710720654540658]
ct_reasoning: Type: cusp | Jump Prob: 84.3% unknown | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0785
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.00 | Trading Confidence: 777.3%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 3.4% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.571880739459562e-8,-12.217963831803575],[-12.217963831803575,9286123629260928]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.367879574336182e-9,-21.482269017892385,-21.482269017892385,-7701378790968415]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.7%, final=13.84%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769102018176_7b3tt7xsz
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 8.5% | Asymmetry: 17.0%
ct_type: cusp
ct_jump_direction: unknown
ct_control_params: {"a":-0.014921382062376042,"b":0.00000183655066650129}
ct_critical_points: [0.08634450487647462,-0.08640604581119221,0.0000615409347175719]
ct_reasoning: Type: cusp | Jump Prob: 84.0% unknown | Distance to bifurcation: 0.1194
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.94 | Trading Confidence: 1385.6%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 2.9% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.2264764265139747e-8,-115.45645020825192],[-115.45645020825192,11693765609971302000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-3.738173081637865e-9,-257.63712885543026,-257.63712885543026,11693688039217641000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.5%, final=13.75%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769102416243_wtqe5ggu6
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 155.5% | Asymmetry: 311.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":2.496269022918178e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.95 | Trading Confidence: 1551.6%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 6.9% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.4355106853796471e-8,-24.70286201765157],[-24.70286201765157,9197401100238074]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.2908953745013399e-9,13.874905697206472,13.874905697206472,-7593857504826628]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT","IG"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=3.5%, final=13.93%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769104350366_q0l9wrpjn
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.6389 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 15.9% | Asymmetry: 31.7%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-8.544453186129858e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000005336807156009374,0.000005336807156009374]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.00 | Trading Confidence: 869.9%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 7.9% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.8369398279452536e-8,-1899.9675601192164],[-1899.9675601192164,328410005278111800000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.5184726185757924e-9,-1644.6254954507256,-1644.6254954507256,305081418779663860000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=4.0%, final=13.84%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769104373773_dmpeorse1
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7419 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 22.0% | Asymmetry: 44.1%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-9.579637975871688e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.0000056508518460705515,0.0000056508518460705515]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.95 | Trading Confidence: 1508.0%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 7.7% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.837935790538122e-8,-1843.7190642919497],[-1843.7190642919497,328410009796857230000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.5056027251103094e-9,-1581.947591921551,-1581.947591921551,305081414641653300000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=3.8%, final=13.86%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769104990060_bq4g19spe
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 19.0% | Asymmetry: 38.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":3.1876699626737615e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.97 | Trading Confidence: 1623.4%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 2.9% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.7076418945799068e-8,-697.4999434356877],[-697.4999434356877,328410238114427600000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-3.6716601965093902e-9,-2538.194653614994,-2538.194653614994,305081603825965660000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: OT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.5%, final=13.89%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769104998543_bd6thdnd9
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 8.5% | Asymmetry: 17.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":3.179415072087547e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.94 | Trading Confidence: 1914.0%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 2.6% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.712550289337752e-8,-622.6505510283326],[-622.6505510283326,328410234520742460000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-3.7006285637471357e-9,-2520.6182489225403,-2520.6182489225403,305081606717620400000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.3%, final=13.86%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769105898021_dwi3k41ln
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7501 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 12.8% | Asymmetry: 25.7%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-1.5319530934210809e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000022597589055922764,0.000022597589055922764]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.01 | Trading Confidence: 975.5%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 4.6% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.8707321522852312e-8,-1110.0830216235709],[-1110.0830216235709,328410314434966600000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-4.156923096935156e-9,-1681.548972937124,-1681.548972937124,305081610505677770000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: OT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=2.3%, final=13.84%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769106012470_1o2zbxjog
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 165.0% | Asymmetry: 330.0%
ct_type: cusp
ct_jump_direction: unknown
ct_control_params: {"a":-0.009532625049936665,"b":4.0690192887874637e-7}
ct_critical_points: [0.06902781205153193,-0.06904915464948547,0.000021342597953548306]
ct_reasoning: Type: cusp | Jump Prob: 84.4% unknown | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0763
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.93 | Trading Confidence: 1265.4%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 7.2% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[9.087094034268e-9,-11.569704908450408],[-11.569704908450408,662521633751584.8]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-2.921704623292689e-9,2.792107481141103,2.792107481141103,290393763187127.44]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=3.6%, final=13.90%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769112205284_hwqjw3es7
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 163.0% | Asymmetry: 326.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-2.5890864525161204e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.00002937735211868785,0.00002937735211868785]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.00 | Trading Confidence: 1020.0%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 1.6% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: trending
ig_metric_tensor: [[8.66016566167389e-9,-2.956636181743176],[-2.956636181743176,2361743415452723.5]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-8.056596462484999e-10,-6.06513864100509,-6.06513864100509,-2058907728868737.5]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: trending | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["IG"]
dominant_module: OT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.8%, final=13.96%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769112364511_32o472fqu
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 11.5% | Asymmetry: 23.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-2.28320717222583e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.00002758748008442616,0.00002758748008442616]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.86 | Trading Confidence: 2750.1%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 8.7% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.499695388099258e-8,-11.881777760070406],[-11.881777760070406,1561982217228352.2]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [9.214031219081903e-10,-18.93546179312385,-18.93546179312385,1498877549643719.5]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=4.4%, final=13.89%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769113283809_wtabubzg9
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 9.0% | Asymmetry: 18.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-5.1338047666248295e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.00004136747823522253,0.00004136747823522253]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.96 | Trading Confidence: 2130.6%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 13.6% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.587280793565636e-8,-17.350554419217687],[-17.350554419217687,1548712797257118.2]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [3.4169739438329252e-9,16.440766229690905,16.440766229690905,-1418756233433008.2]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=6.8%, final=13.90%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769120655238_r8n7napuh
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 16.5% | Asymmetry: 33.0%
ct_type: cusp
ct_jump_direction: unknown
ct_control_params: {"a":-0.012762067247559024,"b":6.077373866577186e-7}
ct_critical_points: [0.07986946438094873,-0.0798932746864762,0.00002381030552747119]
ct_reasoning: Type: cusp | Jump Prob: 84.1% unknown | Distance to bifurcation: 0.1021
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.96 | Trading Confidence: 2008.5%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 0.0% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.6287036043121875e-8,0.0812090734904243],[0.0812090734904243,7187870259455559]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-3.788476229275766e-9,6.949776841039511,6.949776841039511,-7170204469280556]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.0%, final=13.77%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769121965936_vswxjswz9
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 172.0% | Asymmetry: 344.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-7.011836653716192e-12,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.0000015288161709545277,0.0000015288161709545277]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.96 | Trading Confidence: 1686.7%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 2.5% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[6.074620859577739e-9,-6.0266561133732415],[-6.0266561133732415,7017788259723209]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.7436404685177525e-10,1.508427112435222,1.508427112435222,-6943012750020294]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: OT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.2%, final=14.02%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769122110662_up6pvcboq
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 93.0% | Asymmetry: 186.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":1.4350658533941063e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.11 | Trading Confidence: 477.0%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 3.5% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[6.1009386596974674e-9,-9.021174420474644],[-9.021174420474644,7185018319174005]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [1.509031807280009e-10,2.7029854258982864,2.7029854258982864,-6802370666321450]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: OT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.8%, final=14.00%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769122232013_kayycjx9l
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 194.5% | Asymmetry: 389.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-1.2490357054673558e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000006452481965536868,0.000006452481965536868]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.11 | Trading Confidence: 482.8%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 3.8% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[6.131001675194764e-9,-9.815788439080675],[-9.815788439080675,7184208037986208]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [2.633919732484513e-10,3.5365921494443366,3.5365921494443366,-6802349432814237]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.9%, final=13.98%


symbol: BTC/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769123947789_cfp23cina
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.8660 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 3450.0% | Asymmetry: 6900.0%
ct_type: cusp
ct_jump_direction: unknown
ct_control_params: {"a":-0.0033094979791856933,"b":-0.00011200026879058523}
ct_critical_points: [0.04738795104424786]
ct_reasoning: Type: cusp | Jump Prob: 85.0% unknown | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0044
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.02 | Trading Confidence: 3019.2%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 1.3% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.0952776874234186e-9,-3.3779722046718965],[-3.3779722046718965,7320057424078776]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [2.9703711726260275e-11,3.835537279939082,3.835537279939082,-6947053443891816]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: Extreme instability, High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 20.0%. Kelly=0.7%, final=15.00%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769142173628_uk9xn9vg4
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 18.5% | Asymmetry: 37.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-3.2779830397677634e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.00003305542335617442,0.00003305542335617442]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.03 | Trading Confidence: 1592.2%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 3.4% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[7.2805629232004546e-9,-4.326409264873641],[-4.326409264873641,67067929864738.04]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [5.836209906555921e-10,-1.398235923066262,-1.398235923066262,6051224387221.469]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.7%, final=13.90%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769143670416_6gxyj1sj8
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.6511 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 16.4% | Asymmetry: 32.7%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-6.569050246698687e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000014797578908612817,0.000014797578908612817]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.99 | Trading Confidence: 2077.7%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 7.6% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[9.015329869289359e-9,-9.449744134678017],[-9.449744134678017,50161480869867.5]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [1.9749408895790216e-9,1.0732067135141277,1.0732067135141277,30225554145760.21]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=3.8%, final=13.88%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769155370061_s2j7fejw3
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 152.5% | Asymmetry: 305.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-2.6472753416663246e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000002970564111223279,0.000002970564111223279]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.96 | Trading Confidence: 1587.6%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 0.3% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[9.598008374340113e-9,-0.27870351176520947],[-0.27870351176520947,227850277486394.2]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.2003821052441102e-10,2.0166407821964176,2.0166407821964176,-193532730372083.4]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.2%, final=13.99%


symbol: DOT/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769157802086_2nar8hzsg
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.8660 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 0.4% | Asymmetry: 0.8%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":3.0573458008153493e-7,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.04 | Trading Confidence: 2823.6%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 3.8% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.692109883138438e-7,-3501.4410828810483],[-3501.4410828810483,4.1579766715623277e+21]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [1.9592850214147856e-8,26991.922563805812,26991.922563805812,-4.1488061591242025e+21]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.9%, final=13.90%


symbol: DOT/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769159706655_3eywzsm6p
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.8165 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 0.3% | Asymmetry: 0.7%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":5.376669883782398e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.05 | Trading Confidence: 1850.0%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 5.1% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.721731379687339e-7,-4855.895380030189],[-4855.895380030189,4.159197494156029e+21]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [3.069463080473733e-8,29597.720709175428,29597.720709175428,-4.1481943900987646e+21]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=2.6%, final=13.91%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769166300045_po2elz7p8
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 164.0% | Asymmetry: 328.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-2.530370653735029e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.00002904232918652261,0.00002904232918652261]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.99 | Trading Confidence: 1361.7%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 2.7% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[7.967758345769817e-9,-8.151403555422004],[-8.151403555422004,10276104321840464]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [2.0943288527809827e-9,-30.08334360851425,-30.08334360851425,5376468790750132]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.3%, final=13.99%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769166628874_gc7b6uoc1
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 9.0% | Asymmetry: 18.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-1.0835409060452864e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.0000060098278013192315,0.0000060098278013192315]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.02 | Trading Confidence: 751.6%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 2.3% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.530103027834547e-8,-20.895865489265347],[-20.895865489265347,508977924382303900]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [2.56196911495765e-9,-84.52322212484331,-84.52322212484331,508966965805244500]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: OT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.2%, final=13.90%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769171846793_zl2ew5za1
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 14.0% | Asymmetry: 28.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":2.6849785879197813e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.07 | Trading Confidence: 1121.8%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 0.6% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.3854221084758685e-8,-5.937990032433422],[-5.937990032433422,509346562030858200]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-4.436898882878472e-9,53.02142904837612,53.02142904837612,-508589511954097200]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.3%, final=13.94%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769171847976_ddweno0mb
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 17.0% | Asymmetry: 34.0%
ct_type: cusp
ct_jump_direction: unknown
ct_control_params: {"a":-0.011749318866150386,"b":6.195621034168607e-7}
ct_critical_points: [0.07663314059861301,-0.07665950647495821,0.000026365876345178075]
ct_reasoning: Type: cusp | Jump Prob: 84.2% unknown | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0940
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.09 | Trading Confidence: 1193.6%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 0.3% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.3804649381847737e-8,-3.0311364143401747],[-3.0311364143401747,509346700842120400]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-4.390975941839313e-9,49.00624023715889,49.00624023715889,-508589814456538600]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: OT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.2%, final=13.78%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769171848137_dj4f7kl04
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.6408 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 15.9% | Asymmetry: 31.8%
ct_type: cusp
ct_jump_direction: unknown
ct_control_params: {"a":-0.011749318866150386,"b":6.195621034168607e-7}
ct_critical_points: [0.07663314059861301,-0.07665950647495821,0.000026365876345178075]
ct_reasoning: Type: cusp | Jump Prob: 84.2% unknown | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0940
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.09 | Trading Confidence: 1193.6%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 0.3% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.3804649381847737e-8,-3.0311364143401747],[-3.0311364143401747,509346700842120400]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-4.390975941839313e-9,49.00624023715889,49.00624023715889,-508589814456538600]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.2%, final=13.77%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769171882250_wuzxxnmed
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 156.0% | Asymmetry: 312.0%
ct_type: cusp
ct_jump_direction: unknown
ct_control_params: {"a":-0.008655970688980217,"b":-0.0003413272167415379}
ct_critical_points: [0.07403128115365742,-0.05176394226045329,-0.022267338893204147]
ct_reasoning: Type: cusp | Jump Prob: 84.8% unknown | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0272
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.98 | Trading Confidence: 910.6%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 2.8% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[7.492582856848465e-9,-8.351665845616328],[-8.351665845616328,7880653417597491]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.232889549620503e-9,37.16585328321455,37.16585328321455,-7762200740813478]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["IG"]
dominant_module: OT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.4%, final=13.95%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769181703961_boy4i8ofk
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 8.5% | Asymmetry: 17.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":8.160793000090297e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.00 | Trading Confidence: 1141.7%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 6.2% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.4144503044100935e-8,-64.52178133762874],[-64.52178133762874,153661875242137120]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [1.9767689474286777e-9,-3.798235409937753,-3.798235409937753,-145717329239980830]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=3.1%, final=13.90%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769181815144_22bjeic4t
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 14.5% | Asymmetry: 29.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-4.4966040721643166e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000012242826569280365,0.000012242826569280365]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.01 | Trading Confidence: 1008.5%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 8.0% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.4573113613338245e-8,-82.70942192800293],[-82.70942192800293,153661736193215170]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [1.7834629566628981e-9,57.38960610837617,57.38960610837617,-145715454073646600]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT","IG"]
dominant_module: OT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=4.0%, final=13.88%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769181911259_gproioho5
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.5774 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 12.6% | Asymmetry: 25.1%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-1.0820025896644176e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000006005560172774386,0.000006005560172774386]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.96 | Trading Confidence: 1454.4%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 4.9% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.3236188912826e-8,-51.29590259583462],[-51.29590259583462,153662229226921820]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [3.553813886509161e-9,33.405865785322526,33.405865785322526,-145715736799887870]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT","IG"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=2.5%, final=13.84%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769182633291_w5cj3wyvl
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 9.0% | Asymmetry: 18.0%
ct_type: cusp
ct_jump_direction: unknown
ct_control_params: {"a":-0.01544836754473546,"b":0.00001627700030615455}
ct_critical_points: [0.08762273219461725,-0.08814957055385511,0.0005268383592378485]
ct_reasoning: Type: cusp | Jump Prob: 84.0% unknown | Distance to bifurcation: 0.1236
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.01 | Trading Confidence: 1187.1%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 8.4% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.3865205979723585e-8,-102.7783282546587],[-102.7783282546587,171410209226778270]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [4.537997144972792e-10,32.3233454234078,32.3233454234078,-127279210929947040]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT","IG"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=4.2%, final=13.72%


symbol: BTC/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769183233248_nsfctbfn0
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.8408 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 4785.0% | Asymmetry: 9570.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":5.420950334047185e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.89 | Trading Confidence: 2524.4%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 3.7% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.975272945113907e-9,-8.948213157479492],[-8.948213157479492,5847411911817311]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.3571031711204677e-10,-5.769326922433545,-5.769326922433545,-4858352573614836]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: OT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: Extreme instability, High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 20.0%. Kelly=1.9%, final=15.00%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769183416712_yxjvhn73v
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7204 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 23.2% | Asymmetry: 46.5%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-2.0782027972365076e-8,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.00008323065935972768,0.00008323065935972768]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.98 | Trading Confidence: 1490.4%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 14.7% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.4016256899508875e-8,-278.48823915338943],[-278.48823915338943,1683984019839608300]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [1.2115849931258574e-9,-352.6814515356323,-352.6814515356323,1676012855610544000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=7.4%, final=13.86%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769183429903_e0bvmf4pc
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7467 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 21.7% | Asymmetry: 43.5%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-2.3444416160317024e-8,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.00008840138792333717,0.00008840138792333717]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.00 | Trading Confidence: 847.2%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 14.0% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.419621701252118e-8,-265.1301631695657],[-265.1301631695657,1683984241571593500]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [1.3828763165809977e-9,-315.9036904023045,-315.9036904023045,1676012805028167700]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=7.0%, final=13.85%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769183447910_5yh319me9
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 8.5% | Asymmetry: 17.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-3.543349791614781e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.00003436737693227295,0.00003436737693227295]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.97 | Trading Confidence: 1569.5%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 13.9% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.422180956988471e-8,-262.1586607312879],[-262.1586607312879,1683984465117826600]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [1.155544129384975e-9,-332.2956483388084,-332.2956483388084,1676012828440044000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=6.9%, final=13.86%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769183717062_lriw78ehb
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 9.0% | Asymmetry: 18.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-8.80010939831758e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.00005416059267991067,0.00005416059267991067]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.96 | Trading Confidence: 1768.1%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 11.6% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.4896771791581106e-8,-218.54340445766422],[-218.54340445766422,1683986317772078000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.465446480405918e-9,-248.9423140142536,-248.9423140142536,1676011159553354500]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=5.8%, final=13.89%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769183767325_zvfgkwkg5
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 18.5% | Asymmetry: 37.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":5.7501266310205876e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.99 | Trading Confidence: 980.5%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 11.6% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.4889943041024163e-8,-220.15523875669467],[-220.15523875669467,1683985291817546500]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.609677090829188e-9,-290.1665882574756,-290.1665882574756,1676008018681633500]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=5.8%, final=13.87%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769184029132_e2ed1uhaw
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 172.5% | Asymmetry: 345.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":2.00683072774639e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.91 | Trading Confidence: 1576.1%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.02% | Growth Rate: 0.02% | Kelly: 16.0% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.9670332382955285e-8,-82.43279585444887],[-82.43279585444887,27122700685505636]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-2.453271631614553e-9,-7.342839719307172,-7.342839719307172,21605376505240210]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=8.0%, final=14.02%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769184180642_v2kdc1avu
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 162.0% | Asymmetry: 324.0%
ct_type: cusp
ct_jump_direction: unknown
ct_control_params: {"a":-0.014116952504787035,"b":0.000014025185954188437}
ct_critical_points: [0.08376525323363546,-0.08426202037631138,0.0004967671426759343]
ct_reasoning: Type: cusp | Jump Prob: 84.0% unknown | Distance to bifurcation: 0.1129
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.94 | Trading Confidence: 1337.2%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 12.4% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.9928834802241295e-8,-106.13874679612117],[-106.13874679612117,130817947487183200]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.8997215099534604e-9,-74.34673458131707,-74.34673458131707,125678271003330560]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=6.2%, final=13.90%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769184322174_g2h3m6uge
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 173.5% | Asymmetry: 347.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":1.2249139058798813e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.97 | Trading Confidence: 1263.5%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 10.1% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.9187135510237062e-8,-86.20043731924379],[-86.20043731924379,130785159134242130]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.0629642715770877e-9,-42.435348808324946,-42.435348808324946,125244684613348580]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=5.1%, final=13.89%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769184501403_mfc03zqgc
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.6998 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 21.1% | Asymmetry: 42.3%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-7.396584850670644e-12,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000001570200077556004,0.000001570200077556004]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.99 | Trading Confidence: 1210.5%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 12.3% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.132380283501291e-8,-221.627219166882],[-221.627219166882,1680767654178711300]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-4.261666410369265e-9,326.29639414785646,326.29639414785646,-1679349903521345800]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=6.1%, final=13.85%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769184671324_cyfuc1q3f
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 17.5% | Asymmetry: 35.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":3.701074883577289e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.96 | Trading Confidence: 2007.8%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 13.5% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.0211764817488643e-8,-244.41059148457703],[-244.41059148457703,1680764246066857700]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-2.9746153057860953e-9,278.91722567303344,278.91722567303344,-1679349025862039600]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: OT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=6.8%, final=13.89%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769184803458_i1qvugeyb
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 18.0% | Asymmetry: 36.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":9.19928102882446e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.97 | Trading Confidence: 2074.8%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 12.6% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.8455618885177445e-8,-227.70977631546515],[-227.70977631546515,1680762225693352200]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-3.6778042350621153e-9,290.02429912763375,290.02429912763375,-1679340040840344600]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=6.3%, final=13.95%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769185383793_09hske1rh
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 13.5% | Asymmetry: 27.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-1.1049770945170827e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000019191813311210615,0.000019191813311210615]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.07 | Trading Confidence: 1269.3%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 9.7% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.8241400817911233e-8,-154.14251575606517],[-154.14251575606517,1662814460240809200]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.4625887141435055e-9,342.1904469699422,342.1904469699422,-1662711274555840300]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=4.8%, final=13.87%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769186269535_1ny9p87qk
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.5774 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 14.5% | Asymmetry: 29.1%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":2.5519170247018544e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.99 | Trading Confidence: 1444.0%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 7.3% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: trending
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.5340833166308472e-8,-29.837320477514496],[-29.837320477514496,33325308798274750]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [7.502814917467207e-10,-19.029193769041203,-19.029193769041203,32178093952830030]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: trending | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: OT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=3.6%, final=13.85%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769186370928_iozbywtg8
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 155.5% | Asymmetry: 311.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":9.162891465063172e-8,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.02 | Trading Confidence: 1002.0%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 8.0% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: trending
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.3503520053283627e-8,-58.71401134851643],[-58.71401134851643,115273792761223470]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.2999142270923281e-10,-26.218823076022232,-26.218823076022232,-109309240168286980]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: trending | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 20.0%. Kelly=4.0%, final=15.00%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769186813450_9rgziegdy
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7074 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 18.6% | Asymmetry: 37.3%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-1.749339970317739e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.0000024147739509926107,0.0000024147739509926107]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.02 | Trading Confidence: 971.7%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 4.8% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: trending
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.9192170866023736e-8,-18.486822425595385],[-18.486822425595385,32776950164525030]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [2.9211374397961664e-9,-28.544110243605648,-28.544110243605648,32727627327950508]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: trending | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=2.4%, final=13.85%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769187355040_axv7npv0r
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 161.5% | Asymmetry: 323.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-1.923107541225508e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000002531868572961814,0.000002531868572961814]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.97 | Trading Confidence: 2122.1%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 5.1% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.4045833676748122e-8,-14.809793681791199],[-14.809793681791199,3222649224414892.5]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [7.746477728816659e-10,4.298227627659275,4.298227627659275,2400572597618446.5]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=2.6%, final=14.04%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769187480377_t2jfm4bhf
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 165.0% | Asymmetry: 330.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":1.0749547435230736e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.95 | Trading Confidence: 1756.6%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 5.2% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: trending
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.3638384145898869e-8,-14.787010058762672],[-14.787010058762672,3221258287472370.5]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [4.5450971087536767e-10,9.404789001686682,9.404789001686682,251839233687910.25]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: trending | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=2.6%, final=14.03%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769187548263_uf11lbp1k
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 14.5% | Asymmetry: 29.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":1.832036337164184e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.94 | Trading Confidence: 2161.7%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 2.1% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.936787118832069e-8,-9.887043998791377],[-9.887043998791377,36997344081509544]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [1.5644088350297932e-9,-16.415149310055355,-16.415149310055355,36936567799485920]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.1%, final=13.87%


symbol: XRP/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769187860372_j4eejem8p
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.4788 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 0.1% | Asymmetry: 0.2%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-5.523241509162705e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000013568642168817907,0.000013568642168817907]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.10 | Trading Confidence: 627.1%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 1.6% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.3525696810694394e-8,-50.26932430648873],[-50.26932430648873,7692438156660620000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-8.284222952058175e-9,450.82636351779206,450.82636351779206,-7692438125743604000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.8%, final=13.85%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769188829483_twddk5lrm
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 16.5% | Asymmetry: 33.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":8.180461265765953e-12,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.98 | Trading Confidence: 2090.8%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 8.2% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.767197997725489e-8,-37.36789763360831],[-37.36789763360831,36999566517096660]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-4.547051489735603e-9,84.36612257152741,84.36612257152741,-36920027789900330]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=4.1%, final=13.87%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769189062136_k15kmc82r
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 154.0% | Asymmetry: 308.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-4.5808701017138147e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000012357008944608204,0.000012357008944608204]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.08 | Trading Confidence: 477.0%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 2.5% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.1113696332388815e-8,-6.924295208039725],[-6.924295208039725,3204670156117355]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-3.6732744547349248e-9,-2.131209568518988,-2.131209568518988,-266152609489123.25]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["IG"]
dominant_module: OT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.3%, final=13.96%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769189162003_d323k8mk5
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.8660 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 308.5% | Asymmetry: 617.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":4.326684213439797e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.06 | Trading Confidence: 949.0%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 3.3% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[9.977199758997502e-9,-15.024797986977099],[-15.024797986977099,59484635599250060]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-2.793282931665882e-9,-47.193212447872874,-47.193212447872874,59001883229434950]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.7%, final=13.96%


symbol: BTC/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769189190651_r4dqmgqx0
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 4495.0% | Asymmetry: 8990.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-6.877728800599073e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000015141255783013369,0.000015141255783013369]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.02 | Trading Confidence: 2411.9%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 5.8% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.4136729284105354e-9,-8.186142458427756],[-8.186142458427756,1198305009851904]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [9.286878545699371e-10,-4.872408834083174,-4.872408834083174,1115424965802518.4]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: Extreme instability, High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 20.0%. Kelly=2.9%, final=15.00%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769189358487_yd9byw226
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 15.0% | Asymmetry: 30.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":3.1129487348540675e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.79 | Trading Confidence: 3599.1%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 5.0% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: trending
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.1078889340075052e-8,-17.34752304986738],[-17.34752304986738,16194655771084460]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-3.5383057907011928e-9,-51.22400928260933,-51.22400928260933,16132950421179518]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: trending | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=2.5%, final=13.86%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769189361796_1q05obl7q
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 247.5% | Asymmetry: 495.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-6.565525859559025e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000014793608822234716,0.000014793608822234716]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.01 | Trading Confidence: 1008.5%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 7.8% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.0289088654105453e-8,-54.50364902820293],[-54.50364902820293,117239975815281380]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [6.484767417818283e-10,-108.46144396070557,-108.46144396070557,114337908352361520]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=3.9%, final=13.96%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769189645122_epykoq360
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 8.5% | Asymmetry: 17.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":2.8790983553667466e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.86 | Trading Confidence: 3356.2%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 8.9% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: trending
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.0942174830584003e-8,-30.306145535349472],[-30.306145535349472,16186067563999130]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-3.839072796183803e-10,-35.734151926846415,-35.734151926846415,16142457353873376]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: trending | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: OT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=4.5%, final=13.87%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769189649940_rcgdgmn03
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 167.0% | Asymmetry: 334.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":4.6020633826877595e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.98 | Trading Confidence: 869.9%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 8.6% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.0679208914346997e-8,-58.37263863858026],[-58.37263863858026,117264881320256480]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [3.444424032075971e-9,17.306742114078943,17.306742114078943,-1158199119952440]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT","IG"]
dominant_module: OT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=4.3%, final=13.95%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769189703117_welgy1508
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 8.5% | Asymmetry: 17.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":1.8639341172387102e-8,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.89 | Trading Confidence: 3241.9%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 8.2% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: trending
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.1166828116250446e-8,-27.900238792018197],[-27.900238792018197,16186201837116110]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [1.0394434431897328e-10,-11.943187820994776,-11.943187820994776,3813169270865680]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: trending | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=4.1%, final=13.88%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769189875920_vj3my2tug
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 8.5% | Asymmetry: 17.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-7.268213670701437e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000015565146611046787,0.000015565146611046787]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.04 | Trading Confidence: 1642.0%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.02% | Growth Rate: 0.02% | Kelly: 16.0% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[9.877836718855332e-9,-53.12455668340545],[-53.12455668340545,16183457531849438]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [3.1431864309182774e-9,60.73390278968041,60.73390278968041,-16147254867605882]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=8.0%, final=13.86%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769194390089_act1basra
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.6450 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 21.2% | Asymmetry: 42.5%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":1.2668209938851557e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.00 | Trading Confidence: 1867.9%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 4.2% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.6828566284726335e-8,-1067.400300436463],[-1067.400300436463,265364945478856970000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [3.879621255074738e-9,862.2325293098104,862.2325293098104,-173455973413584470000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=2.1%, final=13.84%


symbol: XRP/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769201964172_mwomdihb6
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 0.1% | Asymmetry: 0.2%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-2.955725134038254e-8,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.00009925934270113241,0.00009925934270113241]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: low_entropy
se_reasoning: Regime: low_entropy | Ratio: 0.65 | Trading Confidence: 4715.7%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: -0.00% | Growth Rate: -0.00% | Kelly: 0.0% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.5137888421919576e-8,1.3854553644161478],[1.3854553644161478,8116238249215.325]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.0675364638166327e-8,-1.707273171089107,-1.707273171089107,-5463056407497.058]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.0%, final=15.00%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769204011820_n07pcakvq
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.6269 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 14.0% | Asymmetry: 28.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-2.5524428646935944e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000009223959498128763,0.000009223959498128763]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.09 | Trading Confidence: 1932.1%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 3.7% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.717134787407827e-8,-362.5942987010666],[-362.5942987010666,74083722214958940000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.4152841223146158e-9,-1384.5247296576908,-1384.5247296576908,74083360586505290000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.9%, final=13.85%


symbol: XRP/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769205650739_c7ti9o5o5
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.6432 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 0.1% | Asymmetry: 0.2%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-6.870030107337043e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.00004785404931433718,0.00004785404931433718]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.00 | Trading Confidence: 1445.9%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 2.6% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.9228423686668667e-8,-0.9119735341763773],[-0.9119735341763773,6189045840383.424]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-4.718249728316693e-9,1.6994350853168907,1.6994350853168907,1983512527625.3196]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.3%, final=13.91%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769211355004_g9j3x9bxb
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.8165 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 17.0% | Asymmetry: 34.0%
ct_type: cusp
ct_jump_direction: unknown
ct_control_params: {"a":-0.009769074156199238,"b":6.166464067478396e-7}
ct_critical_points: [0.0698736773614562,-0.06990523851672234,0.000031561155266167095]
ct_reasoning: Type: cusp | Jump Prob: 84.3% unknown | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0782
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.94 | Trading Confidence: 1527.0%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 1.2% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[9.543480986931987e-9,-2.112233866082644],[-2.112233866082644,1972230305143265]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.71697478190318e-9,10.93151700082546,10.93151700082546,-1940450888138409.8]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.6%, final=13.81%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769211355034_wdx07763q
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7444 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 21.7% | Asymmetry: 43.4%
ct_type: cusp
ct_jump_direction: unknown
ct_control_params: {"a":-0.009769074156199238,"b":6.166464067478396e-7}
ct_critical_points: [0.0698736773614562,-0.06990523851672234,0.000031561155266167095]
ct_reasoning: Type: cusp | Jump Prob: 84.3% unknown | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0782
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.94 | Trading Confidence: 1527.0%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 1.2% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[9.543480986931987e-9,-2.112233866082644],[-2.112233866082644,1972230305143265]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.71697478190318e-9,10.93151700082546,10.93151700082546,-1940450888138409.8]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.6%, final=13.79%


symbol: BTC/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769221902613_atjjug77h
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.8660 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 3485.0% | Asymmetry: 6970.0%
ct_type: cusp
ct_jump_direction: unknown
ct_control_params: {"a":-0.0017729879807346094,"b":0.00011171836246717584}
ct_critical_points: [-0.03984321070192577]
ct_reasoning: Type: cusp | Jump Prob: 84.2% unknown | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0926
se_regime: low_entropy
se_reasoning: Regime: low_entropy | Ratio: 0.70 | Trading Confidence: 5628.6%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 1.6% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: trending
ig_metric_tensor: [[3.1434863798293874e-10,-7.919096745836668],[-7.919096745836668,35748191694986068]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.6014098299130567e-10,-2.0879747620024447,-2.0879747620024447,-31664612532625240]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: trending | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.8%, final=15.00%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769224274122_ys0tmmizg
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 8.5% | Asymmetry: 17.0%
ct_type: cusp
ct_jump_direction: unknown
ct_control_params: {"a":-0.007055824217336692,"b":6.136550898788837e-7}
ct_critical_points: [0.05937447494432806,-0.059417960680360045,0.000043485736031956664]
ct_reasoning: Type: cusp | Jump Prob: 84.5% unknown | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0564
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.92 | Trading Confidence: 1950.0%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 2.4% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[4.978465538595493e-9,-3.5539509762950092],[-3.5539509762950092,35862989000251.88]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-4.90926428219809e-10,-2.861462474743368,-2.861462474743368,-3053664072222.5156]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.2%, final=13.78%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769228498315_3z853t4a0
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 8.0% | Asymmetry: 16.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-6.94226816768251e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000015212131307701441,0.000015212131307701441]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.98 | Trading Confidence: 1557.3%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 1.8% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[5.606028889191697e-9,-2.9024032301841953],[-2.9024032301841953,34867055592031]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [9.349056305981122e-10,0.42422688580293166,0.42422688580293166,1615536960470.961]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.9%, final=13.90%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769229407037_9o8yupwiz
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 8.5% | Asymmetry: 17.0%
ct_type: cusp
ct_jump_direction: unknown
ct_control_params: {"a":-0.007650589113424769,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [0.06184896568829898,-0.06184896568829898,-1.311909630995125e-17]
ct_reasoning: Type: cusp | Jump Prob: 84.5% unknown | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0612
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.01 | Trading Confidence: 2086.9%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 2.0% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[5.853151378245359e-9,-3.3141350662735234],[-3.3141350662735234,35368535322976.8]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [1.2698074458427823e-9,7.946909708489503,7.946909708489503,-1040047686625.9766]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.0%, final=13.79%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769254902717_q7e5yl4hj
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 7.5% | Asymmetry: 15.0%
ct_type: cusp
ct_jump_direction: unknown
ct_control_params: {"a":-0.004325403941069584,"b":6.194645806565941e-7}
ct_critical_points: [0.0464690143541391,-0.04654062223837699,0.00007160788423786436]
ct_reasoning: Type: cusp | Jump Prob: 84.7% unknown | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0346
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.99 | Trading Confidence: 3422.9%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 0.6% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.8709119253420283e-9,-0.8310386422070132],[-0.8310386422070132,29914710037787.73]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.6556217840631866e-10,-4.12868921468422,-4.12868921468422,167618297180.91992]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.3%, final=13.82%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769258220557_36verkuaf
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 13.5% | Asymmetry: 27.0%
ct_type: cusp
ct_jump_direction: unknown
ct_control_params: {"a":-0.00492730533911002,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [0.049635195875054335,-0.049635195875054335,-1.0528371942868652e-17]
ct_reasoning: Type: cusp | Jump Prob: 84.7% unknown | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0394
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.03 | Trading Confidence: 2745.4%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 0.9% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.4278337904822116e-9,-1.3124186888820164],[-1.3124186888820164,29369377719466.45]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [9.769725699196856e-10,3.7676552472720823,3.7676552472720823,1542305654117.086]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.4%, final=13.82%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769260834890_tsr3af043
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7259 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 16.7% | Asymmetry: 33.4%
ct_type: cusp
ct_jump_direction: unknown
ct_control_params: {"a":-0.005519741772539026,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [0.052534473312954355,-0.052534473312954355,-1.1143352315034762e-17]
ct_reasoning: Type: cusp | Jump Prob: 84.6% unknown | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0442
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.95 | Trading Confidence: 3035.8%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: -0.00% | Growth Rate: -0.00% | Kelly: 0.0% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[3.0467549235512266e-9,0.8935505656839325],[0.8935505656839325,31429521798420.797]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [6.605624225762382e-10,-1.3869148836494667,-1.3869148836494667,-827931805313.1562]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.0%, final=13.80%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769295896739_kwwx3j0a6
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 13.0% | Asymmetry: 26.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-6.822035193124816e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.00001507982669343917,0.00001507982669343917]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.14 | Trading Confidence: 2938.1%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 1.0% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[4.269405526686956e-9,-0.21078137388207766],[-0.21078137388207766,2312381711134.288]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [2.4027577403428762e-9,-1.2912194084022415,-1.2912194084022415,879977811264.365]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.5%, final=13.89%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769322837958_ml7vswn45
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 14.0% | Asymmetry: 28.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-2.050570370365567e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000026144281531312395,0.000026144281531312395]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.00 | Trading Confidence: 1842.6%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 1.0% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[6.651496243235067e-9,-0.24753473793845285],[-0.24753473793845285,3369645514250.756]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [1.3821573586690316e-10,0.3305524704532893,0.3305524704532893,2003174654486.4062]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.5%, final=13.91%


symbol: BTC/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769330734853_51begeqme
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 3355.0% | Asymmetry: 6710.0%
ct_type: cusp
ct_jump_direction: unknown
ct_control_params: {"a":-0.031139922535132848,"b":-0.0001135020958225135}
ct_critical_points: [0.1256810856400736,-0.12385824354544753,-0.001822842094626116]
ct_reasoning: Type: cusp | Jump Prob: 82.9% unknown | Distance to bifurcation: 0.2488
se_regime: high_entropy
se_reasoning: Regime: high_entropy | Ratio: 2.25 | Trading Confidence: 2741.5%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 6.3% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: trending
ig_metric_tensor: [[9.696947754940747e-8,-1.3052168662921417],[-1.3052168662921417,11835772030002.613]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-9.291045231001115e-8,-0.07935818115064638,-0.07935818115064638,10893802547372.18]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: trending | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=3.2%, final=13.76%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769341637747_n0vk29xhb
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 126.0% | Asymmetry: 252.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":3.3716464427355873e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.02 | Trading Confidence: 1443.2%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 1.2% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[3.883898687307509e-9,-1.3636055747661673],[-1.3636055747661673,1513666502559360]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-5.03118015442841e-10,7.1161627535034215,7.1161627535034215,-1471275917022999.5]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.6%, final=13.99%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769342549469_6pntx10kj
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 12.0% | Asymmetry: 24.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":5.006479318441821e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.04 | Trading Confidence: 1557.3%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 2.0% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[6.901620685897774e-9,-0.8668502219058588],[-0.8668502219058588,19978134182389.883]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-6.232305886153121e-10,2.124753520357853,2.124753520357853,17250276883853.756]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.0%, final=13.91%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769345185314_8mv2t9fle
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 7.0% | Asymmetry: 14.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-2.8735036646581323e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000009786902241700609,0.000009786902241700609]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.01 | Trading Confidence: 1940.9%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 2.1% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[6.781480369081178e-9,-1.4296812610987097],[-1.4296812610987097,478454887036856.56]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [6.385161535576182e-10,0.534359970192569,0.534359970192569,475629708656191]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.0%, final=13.89%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769345543713_3xwj8olnn
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7221 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 16.8% | Asymmetry: 33.5%
ct_type: cusp
ct_jump_direction: unknown
ct_control_params: {"a":-0.00800193092138613,"b":6.220076765689432e-7}
ct_critical_points: [0.06323374336751858,-0.06327260948105545,0.00003886611353685799]
ct_reasoning: Type: cusp | Jump Prob: 84.5% unknown | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0640
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.04 | Trading Confidence: 1631.0%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 1.5% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[6.403089847063548e-9,-1.0396337686484665],[-1.0396337686484665,478386903332176.4]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [7.849268359279008e-10,-0.4201102666360695,-0.4201102666360695,475644731261290.44]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.8%, final=13.78%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769350322143_kn8hhrov2
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 139.0% | Asymmetry: 278.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-1.6074712083709103e-11,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.0000023147866772634507,0.0000023147866772634507]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.10 | Trading Confidence: 1063.3%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 0.9% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[5.233847351136924e-9,-0.8740023274583556],[-0.8740023274583556,56133888279620.34]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-1.529490955110066e-9,4.538733706794384,4.538733706794384,-16117632779257.469]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.5%, final=13.97%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769357380915_oav6a75p5
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 11.5% | Asymmetry: 23.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":6.486907317112432e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.93 | Trading Confidence: 1518.5%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 0.2% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.1134331484363786e-7,-3.6817056548957026],[-3.6817056548957026,563033840074628740]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-8.065137912667658e-8,134.29163036767653,134.29163036767653,562616976711739100]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.1%, final=13.92%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769359765310_9p8xrxtc7
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: bid_to_ask
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: bid_to_ask | Transport Cost: 9.0% | Asymmetry: 18.0%
ct_type: cusp
ct_jump_direction: unknown
ct_control_params: {"a":-0.014827504243562752,"b":6.67969385093883e-7}
ct_critical_points: [0.08609188360533615,-0.08611440828042084,0.000022524675084654786]
ct_reasoning: Type: cusp | Jump Prob: 84.0% unknown | Distance to bifurcation: 0.1186
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.03 | Trading Confidence: 1523.1%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 2.1% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.1985488209287142e-8,-106.52831540580401],[-106.52831540580401,11057809824335400000]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-4.004216395617501e-9,228.0774109507618,228.0774109507618,8980008231488909000]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT","IG"]
dominant_module: OT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=1.0%, final=13.74%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769367794783_fr1ywl2yu
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 158.5% | Asymmetry: 317.0%
ct_type: cusp
ct_jump_direction: unknown
ct_control_params: {"a":-0.01469534099058463,"b":-0.00035089100138870093}
ct_critical_points: [0.09115906269366521,-0.07897398390862236,-0.01218507878504282]
ct_reasoning: Type: cusp | Jump Prob: 84.1% unknown | Distance to bifurcation: 0.1021
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.98 | Trading Confidence: 916.0%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 0.4% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.1595304682955677e-8,-0.4150814863612036],[-0.4150814863612036,390479330944790.3]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-5.924679391614788e-9,-9.814197021453245,-9.814197021453245,355928498185083.1]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.2%, final=13.81%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769367811562_kgwo3cw9v
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: ask_to_bid
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7511 | Flow: ask_to_bid | Transport Cost: 17.7% | Asymmetry: 35.5%
ct_type: cusp
ct_jump_direction: unknown
ct_control_params: {"a":-0.014584261933839627,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [0.08539397500362549,-0.08539397500362549,-1.8113347085027765e-17]
ct_reasoning: Type: cusp | Jump Prob: 84.0% unknown | Distance to bifurcation: 0.1167
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.01 | Trading Confidence: 857.6%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: -0.00% | Growth Rate: -0.00% | Kelly: 0.0% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.1270069615484358e-8,11.691614609041098],[11.691614609041098,518297159899218800]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [1.0476528302640495e-9,-67.97181719654469,-67.97181719654469,496912817779777150]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["OT","CT"]
dominant_module: composite
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.0%, final=13.73%


symbol: BTC/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769367942925_z9bbjk6l6
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 4070.0% | Asymmetry: 8140.0%
ct_type: cusp
ct_jump_direction: unknown
ct_control_params: {"a":-0.00486571030127997,"b":0.00011478802668048964}
ct_critical_points: [0.04178635865087044,-0.054408553762633496,0.012622195111763053]
ct_reasoning: Type: cusp | Jump Prob: 84.8% unknown | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0239
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.96 | Trading Confidence: 1477.0%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 0.4% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.3675136735982024e-9,-1.316040762607964],[-1.316040762607964,14582967822576912]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [5.4950479740022685e-11,12.01793784472332,12.01793784472332,14354276418681236]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: short
es_collapse_direction: down
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: Extreme instability, High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 20.0%. Kelly=0.2%, final=15.00%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769368620168_z19lhtqyr
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 220.0% | Asymmetry: 440.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-3.0518141953834543e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000010085987301504753,0.000010085987301504753]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.08 | Trading Confidence: 679.1%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 1.4% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.7567534327706558e-8,-11.410667706775481],[-11.410667706775481,382492134942711400]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-6.973866154793113e-9,14.640332493389487,14.640332493389487,381744801004070900]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.7%, final=13.96%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769368626503_kwoabjxms
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 166.0% | Asymmetry: 332.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-1.1279077821013886e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000019389926784298668,0.000019389926784298668]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.95 | Trading Confidence: 1230.5%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 1.1% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.75968299334132e-8,-9.048432007970584],[-9.048432007970584,382492129907345340]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-6.994044770770007e-9,21.846871300227548,21.846871300227548,381745079878177340]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.5%, final=13.94%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769368675240_ooajkfx5u
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 169.5% | Asymmetry: 339.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":2.6941350474838143e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.08 | Trading Confidence: 679.1%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 1.3% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.75346559536943e-8,-10.946716100298186],[-10.946716100298186,382492117685398200]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-6.96845074440747e-9,32.35060659917514,32.35060659917514,381745337706306900]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.7%, final=13.98%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769368686219_xp4lkdrfh
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 185.0% | Asymmetry: 370.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":2.152849897804787e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 1.01 | Trading Confidence: 1046.1%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 0.5% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.7682852859001482e-8,-3.8834801419566585],[-3.8834801419566585,382492070641067600]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-6.81943320758451e-9,46.289056073449345,46.289056073449345,381743087613251800]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.2%, final=14.02%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769368806087_azr5czyq0
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 279.0% | Asymmetry: 558.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-1.220663490678653e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.000020171460785630217,0.000020171460785630217]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.98 | Trading Confidence: 1086.1%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: -0.00% | Growth Rate: -0.00% | Kelly: 0.0% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.7810262776313713e-8,17.723678192211356],[17.723678192211356,382493274520679600]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-5.569379865125576e-9,86.18341969204506,86.18341969204506,381742664214302700]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.0%, final=14.02%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769371745437_t5jlb36kc
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 164.0% | Asymmetry: 328.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":7.207780485478804e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.99 | Trading Confidence: 2132.6%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 1.3% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.4848604748543143e-8,-1.4734449317667953],[-1.4734449317667953,935846103876509]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-7.042207892357128e-9,-1.948783099191739,-1.948783099191739,-896022527910395]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: NEUTRAL
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: []
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.6%, final=13.95%


symbol: ETH/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769371749538_l246rv1ff
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 164.0% | Asymmetry: 328.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: up
ct_control_params: {"a":7.296679866971459e-10,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: []
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% up | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.94 | Trading Confidence: 2861.5%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.00% | Growth Rate: 0.00% | Kelly: 1.4% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[1.485395196576132e-8,-1.6452771238387864],[-1.6452771238387864,935843592590413.6]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-7.035714392339428e-9,-1.9481281785931341,-1.9481281785931341,-896021846963659.9]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: SHORT
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["IG"]
dominant_module: CT
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=0.7%, final=13.97%


symbol: SOL/USD
cycle_id: cycle_1769371777176_fir9h4hhf
mode: historypaper
ot_flow_direction: equilibrium
ot_reasoning: Wasserstein Distance: 0.7071 | Flow: equilibrium | Transport Cost: 24.5% | Asymmetry: 49.0%
ct_type: fold
ct_jump_direction: down
ct_control_params: {"a":-5.33680160831995e-9,"b":0}
ct_critical_points: [-0.00004217740946810251,0.00004217740946810251]
ct_reasoning: Type: fold | Jump Prob: 70.0% down | Distance to bifurcation: 0.0000
se_regime: transition
se_reasoning: Regime: transition | Ratio: 0.98 | Trading Confidence: 1222.0%
ee_reasoning: Expected Return: 0.01% | Growth Rate: 0.01% | Kelly: 5.1% | Ergodic Penalty: 0.0%
ig_market_type: random
ig_metric_tensor: [[2.0181442277060337e-8,-77.1239621647742],[-77.1239621647742,630676035671529200]]
ig_christoffel_symbols: [-2.6740245437042953e-9,-20.235761870741566,-20.235761870741566,579545745417389300]
ig_reasoning: Market Type: random | Scalar Curvature: 1.0000 | Geodesic Direction: LONG
es_bias: long
es_collapse_direction: up
es_cascade_risk: low
es_dominant_risk_side: balanced
conflicting_modules: ["CT"]
dominant_module: IG
comp_reasoning:
SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse up: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 18.0%. Kelly=2.6%, final=13.87%


