# decision_log

cycle_id: cycle_1768358960187_kq69f318w
symbol: XRP/USD
check_min_confidence_reason: Confidence: 90.9%
check_entropy_regime_reason: Regime: transition
check_catastrophe_distance_reason: OK
check_sentiment_reason: OK
check_portfolio_exposure_reason: OK
check_existing_position_reason: OK
check_cooldown_reason: OK
check_daily_loss_limit_reason: OK
check_max_positions_reason: OK
check_margin_available_reason: OK
contrarian_crowded_direction: neutral
contrarian_action: ALLOW
contrarian_reason: Trade allowed
final_decision: EXECUTE
final_reason: Trade executed: LONG @ $2.18
trade_id: paper-1768358960190-pbuf4jvw6
contrarian_market_sentiment:
{"longCount":1,"shortCount":0,"neutralCount":7,"totalSignals":8,"longPercent":0.125,"shortPercent":0,"isCrowded":false,"crowdedDirection":"neutral"}


cycle_id: cycle_1768359090911_y2ahcm05s
symbol: BTC/USD
check_min_confidence_reason: Confidence: 94.6%
check_entropy_regime_reason: Regime: transition
check_catastrophe_distance_reason: OK
check_sentiment_reason: OK
check_portfolio_exposure_reason: OK
check_existing_position_reason: OK
check_cooldown_reason: OK
check_daily_loss_limit_reason: OK
check_max_positions_reason: OK
check_margin_available_reason: OK
contrarian_crowded_direction: neutral
contrarian_action: ALLOW
contrarian_reason: Trade allowed
final_decision: EXECUTE
final_reason: Trade executed: SHORT @ $95250.95
trade_id: paper-1768359090913-2vgwp34sk
contrarian_market_sentiment:
{"longCount":0,"shortCount":1,"neutralCount":7,"totalSignals":8,"longPercent":0,"shortPercent":0.125,"isCrowded":false,"crowdedDirection":"neutral"}


cycle_id: cycle_1768361309549_61085ihhx
symbol: SOL/USD
check_min_confidence_reason: Confidence: 93.0%
check_entropy_regime_reason: Regime: transition
check_catastrophe_distance_reason: OK
check_sentiment_reason: OK
check_portfolio_exposure_reason: OK
check_existing_position_reason: OK
check_cooldown_reason: OK
check_daily_loss_limit_reason: OK
check_max_positions_reason: OK
check_margin_available_reason: OK
contrarian_crowded_direction: neutral
contrarian_action: ALLOW
contrarian_reason: Trade allowed
final_decision: EXECUTE
final_reason: Trade executed: LONG @ $145.32
trade_id: paper-1768361309550-m36hku86o
contrarian_market_sentiment:
{"longCount":1,"shortCount":1,"neutralCount":6,"totalSignals":8,"longPercent":0.125,"shortPercent":0.125,"isCrowded":false,"crowdedDirection":"neutral"}


cycle_id: cycle_1768361525051_utbuv71kc
symbol: SOL/USD
check_min_confidence_reason: Confidence: 92.2%
check_entropy_regime_reason: Regime: transition
check_catastrophe_distance_reason: OK
check_sentiment_reason: OK
check_portfolio_exposure_reason: OK
check_existing_position_reason: OK
check_cooldown_reason: OK
check_daily_loss_limit_reason: OK
check_max_positions_reason: OK
check_margin_available_reason: OK
contrarian_crowded_direction: neutral
contrarian_action: ALLOW
contrarian_reason: Trade allowed
final_decision: EXECUTE
final_reason: Trade executed: SHORT @ $145.52
trade_id: paper-1768361525052-xlntmn9jf
contrarian_market_sentiment:
{"longCount":0,"shortCount":3,"neutralCount":5,"totalSignals":8,"longPercent":0,"shortPercent":0.375,"isCrowded":false,"crowdedDirection":"neutral"}


cycle_id: cycle_1768362463561_qxyo7yrcm
symbol: SOL/USD
check_min_confidence_reason: Confidence: 92.4%
check_entropy_regime_reason: Regime: transition
check_catastrophe_distance_reason: OK
check_sentiment_reason: OK
check_portfolio_exposure_reason: OK
check_existing_position_reason: OK
check_cooldown_reason: OK
check_daily_loss_limit_reason: OK
check_max_positions_reason: OK
check_margin_available_reason: OK
contrarian_crowded_direction: neutral
contrarian_action: ALLOW
contrarian_reason: Trade allowed
final_decision: EXECUTE
final_reason: Trade executed: LONG @ $145.97
trade_id: paper-1768362463562-k1ije4267
contrarian_market_sentiment:
{"longCount":2,"shortCount":0,"neutralCount":6,"totalSignals":8,"longPercent":0.25,"shortPercent":0,"isCrowded":false,"crowdedDirection":"neutral"}


cycle_id: cycle_1768365360618_h4issgbld
symbol: LINK/USD
check_min_confidence_reason: Confidence: 92.8%
check_entropy_regime_reason: Regime: transition
check_catastrophe_distance_reason: OK
check_sentiment_reason: OK
check_portfolio_exposure_reason: OK
check_existing_position_reason: OK
check_cooldown_reason: OK
check_daily_loss_limit_reason: OK
check_max_positions_reason: OK
check_margin_available_reason: OK
contrarian_crowded_direction: neutral
contrarian_action: ALLOW
contrarian_reason: Trade allowed
final_decision: EXECUTE
final_reason: Trade executed: LONG @ $14.06
trade_id: paper-1768365360619-duqeyyegj
contrarian_market_sentiment:
{"longCount":1,"shortCount":2,"neutralCount":5,"totalSignals":8,"longPercent":0.125,"shortPercent":0.25,"isCrowded":false,"crowdedDirection":"neutral"}


cycle_id: cycle_1768368220534_07fo9wiwx
symbol: ETH/USD
check_min_confidence_reason: Confidence: 93.5%
check_entropy_regime_reason: Regime: transition
check_catastrophe_distance_reason: OK
check_sentiment_reason: OK
check_portfolio_exposure_reason: OK
check_existing_position_reason: OK
check_cooldown_reason: OK
check_daily_loss_limit_reason: OK
check_max_positions_reason: OK
check_margin_available_reason: OK
contrarian_crowded_direction: neutral
contrarian_action: ALLOW
contrarian_reason: Trade allowed
final_decision: EXECUTE
final_reason: Trade executed: SHORT @ $3327.64
trade_id: paper-1768368220535-fx8ibqmg1
contrarian_market_sentiment:
{"longCount":0,"shortCount":2,"neutralCount":6,"totalSignals":8,"longPercent":0,"shortPercent":0.25,"isCrowded":false,"crowdedDirection":"neutral"}


cycle_id: cycle_1768375234483_1utaf8074
symbol: AVAX/USD
check_min_confidence_reason: Confidence: 92.3%
check_entropy_regime_reason: Regime: transition
check_catastrophe_distance_reason: OK
check_sentiment_reason: OK
check_portfolio_exposure_reason: OK
check_existing_position_reason: OK
check_cooldown_reason: OK
check_daily_loss_limit_reason: OK
check_max_positions_reason: OK
check_margin_available_reason: OK
contrarian_crowded_direction: neutral
contrarian_action: ALLOW
contrarian_reason: Trade allowed
final_decision: EXECUTE
final_reason: Trade executed: LONG @ $14.70
trade_id: paper-1768375234484-spggwikuz
contrarian_market_sentiment:
{"longCount":2,"shortCount":1,"neutralCount":5,"totalSignals":8,"longPercent":0.25,"shortPercent":0.125,"isCrowded":false,"crowdedDirection":"neutral"}


cycle_id: cycle_1768378179195_7easj5e29
symbol: ADA/USD
check_min_confidence_reason: Confidence: 92.1%
check_entropy_regime_reason: Regime: transition
check_catastrophe_distance_reason: OK
check_sentiment_reason: OK
check_portfolio_exposure_reason: OK
check_existing_position_reason: OK
check_cooldown_reason: OK
check_daily_loss_limit_reason: OK
check_max_positions_reason: OK
check_margin_available_reason: OK
contrarian_crowded_direction: neutral
contrarian_action: ALLOW
contrarian_reason: Trade allowed
final_decision: EXECUTE
final_reason: Trade executed: SHORT @ $0.42
trade_id: paper-1768378179196-g6vs1wojr
contrarian_market_sentiment:
{"longCount":2,"shortCount":3,"neutralCount":3,"totalSignals":8,"longPercent":0.25,"shortPercent":0.375,"isCrowded":false,"crowdedDirection":"neutral"}


cycle_id: cycle_1768401149876_q693nxbn5
symbol: SOL/USD
check_min_confidence_reason: Confidence: 92.5%
check_entropy_regime_reason: Regime: transition
check_catastrophe_distance_reason: OK
check_sentiment_reason: OK
check_portfolio_exposure_reason: OK
check_existing_position_reason: OK
check_cooldown_reason: OK
check_daily_loss_limit_reason: OK
check_max_positions_reason: OK
check_margin_available_reason: OK
contrarian_crowded_direction: neutral
contrarian_action: ALLOW
contrarian_reason: Trade allowed
final_decision: EXECUTE
final_reason: Trade executed: SHORT @ $145.64
trade_id: paper-1768401149877-olcrnju7o
contrarian_market_sentiment:
{"longCount":1,"shortCount":3,"neutralCount":4,"totalSignals":8,"longPercent":0.125,"shortPercent":0.375,"isCrowded":false,"crowdedDirection":"neutral"}


cycle_id: cycle_1768409066264_id7gofndm
symbol: ADA/USD
check_min_confidence_reason: Confidence: 92.9%
check_entropy_regime_reason: Regime: transition
check_catastrophe_distance_reason: OK
check_sentiment_reason: OK
check_portfolio_exposure_reason: OK
check_existing_position_reason: OK
check_cooldown_reason: OK
check_daily_loss_limit_reason: OK
check_max_positions_reason: OK
check_margin_available_reason: OK
contrarian_crowded_direction: neutral
contrarian_action: ALLOW
contrarian_reason: Trade allowed
final_decision: EXECUTE
final_reason: Trade executed: SHORT @ $0.42
trade_id: paper-1768409066265-0sbqvv5d3
contrarian_market_sentiment:
{"longCount":0,"shortCount":4,"neutralCount":4,"totalSignals":8,"longPercent":0,"shortPercent":0.5,"isCrowded":false,"crowdedDirection":"neutral"}


cycle_id: cycle_1768430141175_1nv55vfzr
symbol: BTC/USD
check_min_confidence_reason: Confidence: 95.6%
check_entropy_regime_reason: Regime: transition
check_catastrophe_distance_reason: OK
check_sentiment_reason: OK
check_portfolio_exposure_reason: OK
check_existing_position_reason: OK
check_cooldown_reason: OK
check_daily_loss_limit_reason: OK
check_max_positions_reason: OK
check_margin_available_reason: OK
contrarian_crowded_direction: neutral
contrarian_action: ALLOW
contrarian_reason: Trade allowed
final_decision: EXECUTE
final_reason: Trade executed: LONG @ $97181.10
trade_id: paper-1768430141175-jpdbyqtyn
contrarian_market_sentiment:
{"longCount":2,"shortCount":2,"neutralCount":4,"totalSignals":8,"longPercent":0.25,"shortPercent":0.25,"isCrowded":false,"crowdedDirection":"neutral"}


cycle_id: cycle_1768468504936_02dnbk1d2
symbol: SOL/USD
check_min_confidence_reason: Confidence: 92.5%
check_entropy_regime_reason: Regime: transition
check_catastrophe_distance_reason: OK
check_sentiment_reason: OK
check_portfolio_exposure_reason: OK
check_existing_position_reason: OK
check_cooldown_reason: OK
check_daily_loss_limit_reason: OK
check_max_positions_reason: OK
check_margin_available_reason: OK
contrarian_crowded_direction: neutral
contrarian_action: ALLOW
contrarian_reason: Trade allowed
final_decision: EXECUTE
final_reason: Trade executed: LONG @ $144.51
trade_id: paper-1768468504936-hvftmp65l
contrarian_market_sentiment:
{"longCount":3,"shortCount":1,"neutralCount":4,"totalSignals":8,"longPercent":0.375,"shortPercent":0.125,"isCrowded":false,"crowdedDirection":"neutral"}


cycle_id: cycle_1768477804713_85afng0o2
symbol: SOL/USD
check_min_confidence_reason: Confidence: 92.3%
check_entropy_regime_reason: Regime: transition
check_catastrophe_distance_reason: OK
check_sentiment_reason: OK
check_portfolio_exposure_reason: OK
check_existing_position_reason: OK
check_cooldown_reason: OK
check_daily_loss_limit_reason: OK
check_max_positions_reason: OK
check_margin_available_reason: OK
contrarian_crowded_direction: neutral
contrarian_action: ALLOW
contrarian_reason: Trade allowed
final_decision: EXECUTE
final_reason: Trade executed: LONG @ $144.79
trade_id: paper-1768477804714-0hxwv0ag5
contrarian_market_sentiment:
{"longCount":3,"shortCount":0,"neutralCount":5,"totalSignals":8,"longPercent":0.375,"shortPercent":0,"isCrowded":false,"crowdedDirection":"neutral"}


cycle_id: cycle_1768488392328_ymbg0ylk4
symbol: SOL/USD
check_min_confidence_reason: Confidence: 92.7%
check_entropy_regime_reason: Regime: transition
check_catastrophe_distance_reason: OK
check_sentiment_reason: OK
check_portfolio_exposure_reason: OK
check_existing_position_reason: OK
check_cooldown_reason: OK
check_daily_loss_limit_reason: OK
check_max_positions_reason: OK
check_margin_available_reason: OK
contrarian_crowded_direction: neutral
contrarian_action: ALLOW
contrarian_reason: Trade allowed
final_decision: EXECUTE
final_reason: Trade executed: SHORT @ $143.31
trade_id: paper-1768488392329-chast6vy7
contrarian_market_sentiment:
{"longCount":2,"shortCount":4,"neutralCount":2,"totalSignals":8,"longPercent":0.25,"shortPercent":0.5,"isCrowded":false,"crowdedDirection":"neutral"}


cycle_id: cycle_1768490723931_5gjh7s09k
symbol: BTC/USD
check_min_confidence_reason: Confidence: 96.0%
check_entropy_regime_reason: Regime: transition
check_catastrophe_distance_reason: OK
check_sentiment_reason: OK
check_portfolio_exposure_reason: OK
check_existing_position_reason: OK
check_cooldown_reason: OK
check_daily_loss_limit_reason: OK
check_max_positions_reason: OK
check_margin_available_reason: OK
contrarian_crowded_direction: neutral
contrarian_action: ALLOW
contrarian_reason: Trade allowed
final_decision: EXECUTE
final_reason: Trade executed: SHORT @ $95841.05
trade_id: paper-1768490723931-g33qi3t98
contrarian_market_sentiment:
{"longCount":3,"shortCount":3,"neutralCount":2,"totalSignals":8,"longPercent":0.375,"shortPercent":0.375,"isCrowded":false,"crowdedDirection":"neutral"}


cycle_id: cycle_1768492206469_o82udg7ee
symbol: XRP/USD
check_min_confidence_reason: Confidence: 92.4%
check_entropy_regime_reason: Regime: transition
check_catastrophe_distance_reason: OK
check_sentiment_reason: OK
check_portfolio_exposure_reason: OK
check_existing_position_reason: OK
check_cooldown_reason: OK
check_daily_loss_limit_reason: OK
check_max_positions_reason: OK
check_margin_available_reason: OK
contrarian_crowded_direction: neutral
contrarian_action: ALLOW
contrarian_reason: Trade allowed
final_decision: EXECUTE
final_reason: Trade executed: SHORT @ $2.07
trade_id: paper-1768492206469-9fly1tvkb
contrarian_market_sentiment:
{"longCount":1,"shortCount":4,"neutralCount":3,"totalSignals":8,"longPercent":0.125,"shortPercent":0.5,"isCrowded":false,"crowdedDirection":"neutral"}


# trade_execution

trade_id: paper-1768310285732-x5c5u0o8q
cycle_id: cycle_1768310285721_6qpxt9onm
mode: paper
symbol: BTC/USD
side: short
order_type: market
fill_quality: perfect
entry_signal_json:
{"timestamp":1768310285721,"symbol":"BTC/USD","price":91935.25,"spread":0.10000000000582077,"optimalTransport":{"bidDistribution":[0.25453955,1.875395,0.47297524,0.003,0.0818,0.00543861,5.44016341,0.01,0.00005,0.0005,0.01,0.00495796,1.6318471,0.0818,0.03261108,0.008,1.6667081,0.01653306,1.503358,1.250272,1.52248051,0.01597531,1.6316098,1.65209784,3.65397104,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0],"askDistribution":[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.18910821,0.06,0.05438625,0.05438421,0.18917,1.63143827,0.04274756,0.03261108,0.0419439,0.01645041,1.63137413,0.179601,0.53612736,0.00543761,0.02177,0.007,0.03930774,0.16814745,0.003,0.12941137,1.63124294,0.01611582,0.10875533,0.10925521,0.26175159],"prices":[91904.3,91904.4,91905,91907.3,91907.6,91908.9,91909,91909.1,91910.7,91912.7,91914.1,91916.8,91920.3,91922.2,91924.7,91924.8,91928.7,91929.4,91930.1,91931.2,91932.4,91933.1,91933.7,91935.1,91935.2,91935.3,91939.2,91939.7,91939.9,91941.8,91943.5,91943.7,91945.7,91945.9,91946.7,91947.1,91948.3,91951.3,91952.1,91952.2,91952.3,91952.4,91952.9,91953,91954,91954.5,91955,91956.1,91956.2,91956.3],"wassersteinDistance":0.5339981196243133,"optimalBarycenter":91935.20492074707,"flowDirection":"bid_to_ask","transportCost":12.869701278078212,"bidCentroid":91922.85385872591,"askCentroid":91948.59326128206,"tension":0.7474942553476117},"catastrophe":{"type":"cusp","controlParameters":{"a":-0.0028470441768328595,"b":0.00010877226568911664},"distanceToBifurcation":0.016609879964962573,"jumpProbability":0.8485893320785425,"jumpDirection":"unknown","estimatedJumpSize":7.883720217796865e-9,"potentialEnergy":1.1829721556431847e-9,"criticalPoints":[-0.04502718718631124]},"entropy":{"currentEntropy":0.5286122379196792,"baselineEntropy":0.535583212849361,"entropyRatio":0.986984328928841,"klDivergence":0.924054619479222,"regime":"transition","tradingConfidence":47.138776208032084,"informationContent":2.2846240823663444,"surprisal":0.7131188522118385},"ergodic":{"expectedReturn":-0.0000015217479692204226,"growthRate":-0.000001533567454691572,"volatility":0.00015374970225109048,"ergodicPenalty":1.181948547114949e-8,"kellyFraction":0,"optimalPositionSize":0,"timeAverageReturn":-0.000001533569680091904,"ensembleAverageReturn":-0.0000015217479692204226,"ergodicityRatio":1.0077685077362302},"geometry":{"metricTensor":[[8.105660544837895e-10,0.4926273017750274],[0.4926273017750274,436996123315024]],"scalarCurvature":1,"ricciCurvature":1,"marketType":"random","geodesicDirection":0,"christoffelSymbols":[1.064560919776181e-10,5.444741691336937,5.444741691336937,47736797610141.16],"gaussianCurvature":0.0007268593748415366},"enhancedSurface":{"orderFlowTension":74.74942553476117,"fundingTension":100,"leverageTension":5.183330053670822,"liquidationTension":4.5,"deltaTension":0,"totalTension":40.62402239442446,"surfaceCurvature":100,"instabilityScore":75.7513125588209,"bias":"short","biasStrength":5,"collapseImminent":true,"collapseDirection":"down","collapseConfidence":100,"cascadeRisk":"low","dominantRiskSide":"balanced","fundingRate":0.011295483388532215,"openInterest":2263.2058,"openInterestUsd":208136961.39443716,"deltaAggressive":0,"deltaDivergence":false,"absorptionDetected":false},"composite":{"direction":-1,"strength":100,"confidence":100,"positionSize":0.15,"entryPrice":91935.25,"stopLoss":93314.27875,"takeProfit":87752.196125,"reason":"SURFACE COLLAPSE: Surface collapse down: High curvature. Kelly fallback (confidence-based): 20.0%. Kelly=0.0%, final=15.00%"}}


trade_id: paper-1768310285748-p63w998q7
cycle_id: cycle_1768310285747_qswnp24b7
mode: paper
symbol: ETH/USD
side: short
order_type: market
fill_quality: perfect
entry_signal_json:
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trade_id: paper-1768363407839-oxc1iy5ln
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mode: historypaper
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trade_id: paper-1768363734280-2t45j9t3k
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mode: historypaper
symbol: ADA/USD
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trade_id: paper-1768364611196-mi28lc65m
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mode: historypaper
symbol: BTC/USD
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mode: historypaper
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mode: historypaper
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trade_id: paper-1768378179196-g6vs1wojr
cycle_id: cycle_1768378179195_7easj5e29
mode: historypaper
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trade_id: paper-1768380530522-koitev0oz
cycle_id: cycle_1768380530521_k17bojqwd
mode: historypaper
symbol: SOL/USD
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cycle_id: cycle_1768382676513_fxdg3scsn
mode: historypaper
symbol: SOL/USD
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trade_id: paper-1768384870274-x33o9m7sx
cycle_id: cycle_1768384870273_vlu994ghc
mode: historypaper
symbol: ETH/USD
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cycle_id: cycle_1768385562171_anqp8eddo
mode: historypaper
symbol: LINK/USD
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